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memory(speculation-discipline): primary-source rule + EVIDENCE-BASED labeling + CURRENT-aaron §§26-28#665

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memory/speculation-discipline-substrate-2026-04-28
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memory(speculation-discipline): primary-source rule + EVIDENCE-BASED labeling + CURRENT-aaron §§26-28#665
AceHack merged 2 commits intomainfrom
memory/speculation-discipline-substrate-2026-04-28

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@AceHack AceHack commented Apr 28, 2026

Summary

Lands the speculation-discipline substrate from today's LFG #661 incident. Three files:

  1. memory/feedback_speculation_leads_investigation_not_defines_root_cave_aaron_2026_04_28.md (NEW) — the rule + verbatim corrections + EVIDENCE-BASED labeling discipline + time-math (~100x iteration-cost reduction).
  2. memory/CURRENT-aaron.md §§26-28 — three new sections: speculation rule, JVM language preference (B-0075), dependency honesty.
  3. memory/MEMORY.md — index entry for the new memory.

Why this is its own PR

Supersedes PR #664

Closed: #664 was based on a stale AceHack-side branch with 145 commits to replay. Re-cut as cherry-picked content onto fresh LFG main.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings April 28, 2026 15:50
@AceHack AceHack enabled auto-merge (squash) April 28, 2026 15:50
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💡 Codex Review

Here are some automated review suggestions for this pull request.

Reviewed commit: 11cbd7948f

ℹ️ About Codex in GitHub

Your team has set up Codex to review pull requests in this repo. Reviews are triggered when you

  • Open a pull request for review
  • Mark a draft as ready
  • Comment "@codex review".

If Codex has suggestions, it will comment; otherwise it will react with 👍.

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Comment thread memory/CURRENT-aaron.md
AceHack added a commit that referenced this pull request Apr 28, 2026
…ull (Aaron 2026-04-28)

Aaron's binding correction at 2026-04-28T16:05Z after my 5-tick stretch
of "no new signal" closes on PRs #662/#663/#665. EVIDENCE-BASED audit
on his "self check" prompt revealed 9 unresolved review threads that
had been posted during my supposed-no-signal window — I was closing
ticks without pulling.

The rule (Aaron verbatim): "signals don't just arrive, you have to go
get them" + "except for my typing in this environment" + "that's your
only real signal that's pushed to you".

The model: in autonomous-loop mode there is exactly ONE push channel
(Aaron's direct typing). Everything else — CI state, review threads,
PR mergeability, cron firings, peer-CLI replies, GitHub workflow runs
— are PULL signals requiring active query. Closing a tick with "no new
signal" without first pulling mergeStateStatus + reviewThreads +
ci-checks is wrong by construction.

Composes with the speculation rule (same family — don't state things
you haven't verified), Otto-355 (BLOCKED-investigate-threads first),
and the manufactured-patience class (which "no new signal" tick-closes
are the textual signature of).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@AceHack AceHack force-pushed the memory/speculation-discipline-substrate-2026-04-28 branch from b92cb65 to a413758 Compare April 28, 2026 16:19
AceHack added a commit that referenced this pull request Apr 28, 2026
…ull (Aaron 2026-04-28)

Aaron's binding correction at 2026-04-28T16:05Z after my 5-tick stretch
of "no new signal" closes on PRs #662/#663/#665. EVIDENCE-BASED audit
on his "self check" prompt revealed 9 unresolved review threads that
had been posted during my supposed-no-signal window — I was closing
ticks without pulling.

The rule (Aaron verbatim): "signals don't just arrive, you have to go
get them" + "except for my typing in this environment" + "that's your
only real signal that's pushed to you".

The model: in autonomous-loop mode there is exactly ONE push channel
(Aaron's direct typing). Everything else — CI state, review threads,
PR mergeability, cron firings, peer-CLI replies, GitHub workflow runs
— are PULL signals requiring active query. Closing a tick with "no new
signal" without first pulling mergeStateStatus + reviewThreads +
ci-checks is wrong by construction.

Composes with the speculation rule (same family — don't state things
you haven't verified), Otto-355 (BLOCKED-investigate-threads first),
and the manufactured-patience class (which "no new signal" tick-closes
are the textual signature of).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
AceHack and others added 2 commits April 28, 2026 12:23
…CE-BASED labeling + CURRENT-aaron §§26-28

EVIDENCE-BASED: Aaron's binding correction after my LFG #661 "bullshit
answer" 2026-04-28T13:30Z + extension at 14:42Z mandating EVIDENCE-BASED
vs SPECULATION labeling on every root-cause statement.

Three landings in this PR:

1. memory/feedback_speculation_leads_investigation_not_defines_root_cause_aaron_2026_04_28.md
   — captures the rule, Aaron's verbatim corrections, the discipline-
   going-forward checklist, the mandatory labeling section with worked
   examples (good vs bad), and the time-math evidence (~58 min
   speculation cycles vs 30-second primary-source query — the
   discipline pays back ~100x in iteration cost reduction).

2. memory/CURRENT-aaron.md sections 26-28:
   - §26 Speculation discipline (the rule + mandatory labeling)
   - §27 JVM language preference Kotlin > Scala > Java per B-0075
   - §28 Dependency honesty — managed runtimes (.mise.toml-pinned)
     get treated like every other surface (CodeQL matrix, install
     path, workflow comments). The disowned-runtime pattern (Java
     pretended-not-to-exist while installed via mise) was the root
     structural cause of LFG #661.

3. memory/MEMORY.md index entry for the new speculation memory.

Composes with PR #662 (codeql java-honesty fix — the action this
substrate informs) and PR #663 (forward-sync 63 files — already
contains the original codeql-umbrella detection memory; the
resolved-mechanism update lands in a follow-up after #663 merges).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…ull (Aaron 2026-04-28)

Aaron's binding correction at 2026-04-28T16:05Z after my 5-tick stretch
of "no new signal" closes on PRs #662/#663/#665. EVIDENCE-BASED audit
on his "self check" prompt revealed 9 unresolved review threads that
had been posted during my supposed-no-signal window — I was closing
ticks without pulling.

The rule (Aaron verbatim): "signals don't just arrive, you have to go
get them" + "except for my typing in this environment" + "that's your
only real signal that's pushed to you".

The model: in autonomous-loop mode there is exactly ONE push channel
(Aaron's direct typing). Everything else — CI state, review threads,
PR mergeability, cron firings, peer-CLI replies, GitHub workflow runs
— are PULL signals requiring active query. Closing a tick with "no new
signal" without first pulling mergeStateStatus + reviewThreads +
ci-checks is wrong by construction.

Composes with the speculation rule (same family — don't state things
you haven't verified), Otto-355 (BLOCKED-investigate-threads first),
and the manufactured-patience class (which "no new signal" tick-closes
are the textual signature of).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@AceHack AceHack force-pushed the memory/speculation-discipline-substrate-2026-04-28 branch from a413758 to f55fb30 Compare April 28, 2026 16:23
@AceHack AceHack merged commit 1ba49f2 into main Apr 28, 2026
23 checks passed
@AceHack AceHack deleted the memory/speculation-discipline-substrate-2026-04-28 branch April 28, 2026 16:26
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💡 Codex Review

Here are some automated review suggestions for this pull request.

Reviewed commit: f55fb30650

ℹ️ About Codex in GitHub

Your team has set up Codex to review pull requests in this repo. Reviews are triggered when you

  • Open a pull request for review
  • Mark a draft as ready
  • Comment "@codex review".

If Codex has suggestions, it will comment; otherwise it will react with 👍.

Codex can also answer questions or update the PR. Try commenting "@codex address that feedback".

Comment thread memory/CURRENT-aaron.md
AceHack added a commit that referenced this pull request Apr 28, 2026
…odex P2 follow-up) (#668)

* substrate(memory-cross-refs): fix Otto-352→Otto-358 ref + apply resolved-mechanism to codeql-detection memory

Two follow-up fixes from Codex P2 review on PR #665 (post-merge):

1. memory/feedback_speculation_leads_investigation_not_defines_root_cause_aaron_2026_04_28.md
   — composes-with referenced
   `feedback_otto_352_live_lock_term_split_three_distinct_classes_2026_04_26.md`
   which doesn't exist on main. The same content lives at
   `feedback_otto_358_live_lock_too_broad_catch_all_narrow_to_cs_standard_concurrent_state_thrashing_2026_04_27.md`
   (Aaron's correction renamed the live-lock-narrowing memo; both
   the speculation memo and Otto-358 reference the missing 352 file
   per repo grep). Updated the cross-ref to point at the existing
   file.

2. memory/feedback_codeql_umbrella_neutral_vs_per_language_detection_pattern_aaron_2026_04_28.md
   — replaces the speculative "Open question (deferred)" section with
   the EVIDENCE-BASED resolved-mechanism from primary-source query
   (umbrella check's own details URL: "1 configuration present on
   refs/heads/main was not found: codeql.yml /language:java-kotlin").
   Originally a deferred follow-up after PR #663 merged; now
   applied. Includes the structural fix landed via PR #662
   (merged 2026-04-28T16:22:42Z) for full mechanism + remediation
   trail.

Composes with PR #663 (codeql-detection memory original landing) +
PR #665 (speculation rule original landing) + PR #662 (the
structural fix).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

* fix(memory-index): update codeql-detection entry — paired-edit for resolved-mechanism modification

The memory-paired-edit CI check requires MEMORY.md be touched when
memory/* changes, even for modifications (not just additions). My
PR #668 modified two memory files without touching MEMORY.md.

Updated the codeql-detection entry to mark the mechanism as
RESOLVED 2026-04-28T14:32Z with pointer to PR #662 for the
structural fix. The speculation-rule entry doesn't change since
its content didn't materially change (just a cross-ref fix to
Otto-358).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>

---------

Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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