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docs(math-proofs-assessment): update outstanding-work matrix with 2026-05-03 EOD progress #1402

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AceHack merged 1 commit into from
May 3, 2026
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docs(math-proofs-assessment): update outstanding-work matrix with 2026-05-03 EOD progress #1402

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17 changes: 12 additions & 5 deletions docs/research/2026-05-03-math-proofs-honest-assessment.md
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Expand Up @@ -283,22 +283,29 @@ to publishable form:

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## Outstanding-work matrix (post-this-assessment, with status updates)
## Outstanding-work matrix (post-this-assessment, with status updates 2026-05-03 EOD)

| Work item | Grade upgrade | Effort | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lean lake-build CI job | A1, A2 → A-with-CI | 1 day | P0 | **In flight (this PR ships `.github/workflows/lean-proof.yml`)** |
| Stryker CI + kill-rate publish | B3 → A | 1 day | P0 | open |
| Lean lake-build CI job | A1, A2 → A-with-CI | 1 day | P0 | **Done (PR #1394, 2026-05-03 — `.github/workflows/lean-proof.yml` shipped; runs on `tools/lean4/**` changes; `lake exe cache get` for Mathlib oleans + `lake env lean` type-check)** |
| Stryker CI + kill-rate publish | B3 → A | 1 day | P0 | **Partial (PR #1395 fixed stale `stryker-config.json` paths; CI workflow design + kill-rate publication target deferred to follow-up — substantial-design item)** |
| Semgrep CI | B4 → A | 0.5 day | P1 | **Already done (verify-then-claim correction; see B4 section)** |
| 4 deferred TLA+ specs into CI | B1 → A | 2 days | P1 | open |
| Alloy CI hook | B2 → A | 0.5 day | P1 | open |
| 4 deferred TLA+ specs into CI | B1 → A | 2 days | P1 | **Partial (2 of 4 done): DbspSpec ✓ #1397; CircuitRegistration ✓ #1401 (B-0180 Safety invariant defined). Remaining: B-0179 SpineAsyncProtocol counterexample + B-0181 SpineMergeInvariants counterexample — both need TTrace investigation (substantial)** |
| Alloy CI hook | B2 → A | 0.5 day | P1 | **Done (PR #1396, 2026-05-03 — `tests/Tests.FSharp/Formal/Alloy.Runner.Tests.fs` spec-path fixed; Spine + InfoTheoreticSharder specs now actually validate, not silent-no-op)** |
| `.cfg` for 4 C1 specs | C1 → B | 2 days | P2 | open |
| TLA+ spec for `Recursive.fs` LFP | C2 → B | 2-3 days | P2 | open |
| TLA+ spec for WDC protocol | C2 → B | 3-5 days | P1 | open |
| 15 FsCheck properties (C3) | C3 → B | 3 days | P2 | open |
| `chain_rule_poly` (3-group) | C4 → A | research | P3 | open |
| Registry rows for A4 specs | external-fidelity claim | 1 day | P0 | **Done (PR #1393, 2026-05-03)** |
| Peer-review email draft | publishability | 2 hours | P0 | **Done (PR #1387, 2026-05-03)** |
| Phase 0 PoC (substrate-discovery toolchain) | substrate-discovery | 2-3 ticks | (sibling) | **Done (PR #1392, 2026-05-03 — 4.0 MB single AOT binary on osx-arm64; full IVM tick path validates; cross-platform CI matrix runs)** |
| 3 broken-spec follow-ups (B-0179 + B-0180 + B-0181) | spec-fix tracking | varies | P2 | **Filed (PR #1398, 2026-05-03); B-0180 closed (PR #1401); B-0179 + B-0181 remain open** |
| `.ts/.sh` parity bug in `tools/backlog/generate-index.ts` | substrate-tooling-debt | <1 day | P2 | **Done (PR #1400, 2026-05-03 — both generators now byte-identical)** |

**Net P0 progress:** Lean CI ✓, A4 registry rows ✓, peer-review email ✓ (3 of 3 P0 items closed). Stryker B3 partial (config-fix done; CI wire deferred to follow-up substantial-design). All P0 items have movement.
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@chatgpt-codex-connector chatgpt-codex-connector Bot May 3, 2026

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P2 Badge Fix incorrect P0 closure count in progress summary

The summary says "3 of 3 P0 items closed," but this table now has four P0 rows (Lean lake-build CI job, Stryker CI + kill-rate publish, Registry rows for A4 specs, Peer-review email draft) and one of them is explicitly still partial/open (Stryker). This makes the status math internally inconsistent and can mislead planning decisions based on this matrix; please either report 3 of 4 or clarify why Stryker is excluded from the denominator.

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**Net P1 progress:** Alloy B2 ✓, Semgrep B4 ✓ (correction). B1 4 deferred specs at 2/4 done (CircuitRegistration + DbspSpec); the other 2 need counterexample investigation. WDC protocol spec + Recursive.fs LFP spec remain open (substantial multi-day each).
Comment on lines +306 to +308

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