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review: exact --cases selection, fail-fast on unknown ids - #257

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review: exact --cases selection, fail-fast on unknown ids#257
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@jwbron jwbron commented Jul 10, 2026

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Instrument fix, stacked on #255 (parallel to #256), from a footgun the anchor-snap eval gate hit live.

What happened: the #255 powered dispatch (cases=adversarial-injection-approve,golden-request-changes-authz repeats=10) followed the memo's recipe, which omits full=true. The workflow applies --smoke-only before --cases, so the non-smoke golden-request-changes-authz was silently filtered out of a paid measurement: the report covered one case with nothing anywhere saying the other was requested and dropped. A typo'd case id would shrink a measurement the same way. Re-measuring cost a second dispatch.

The fix: an explicit --cases list is an exact selection.

  • It bypasses --smoke-only, which now scopes unscoped runs only (naming a case means selecting it; a tag filter should not second-guess an explicit list).
  • Any requested id matching no live case throws before any model spend, listing the unmatched ids and the available live ids.
  • Requested order is preserved; duplicate ids run once.

Selection is extracted to a pure selectCases with unit tests (smoke scope on/off, exact selection past the scope, order/dedup, unknown-id failure). The workflow yml needs no change: it already passes both flags, and the case list now wins. The memo's powered-run recipe works as written after this.

jwbron added 30 commits July 9, 2026 12:47
…live cases

Phase 1 of the live A/B eval plan (#232). The corpus gains
an opt-in live block carrying what a real model run needs and the
deterministic replay does not:

- prContext (PR title/description/author/base; the description is
  untrusted author text, so an adversarial case can carry its payload
  there or in the diff),
- a post-change file tree on disk next to the case, via a new
  <id>/case.json + <id>/tree/ layout that coexists with flat <id>.json
  (a directory containing case.json is one case; its tree is never
  parsed as corpus JSON), and
- labeled defect specs (mustCatchSpecs / mustNotFlagSpecs: path, line
  window, mechanism keyword alternates). Live runs choose their own
  finding ids, so ground truth matches on anchor window + mechanism
  rather than id.

The loader enforces the invariants: the live tag and the live block
imply each other, a live case needs a cleanly-parseable diff, spec
paths must appear in changedFiles and the diff, and every non-removed
changed file must exist in the tree. loadLiveCorpus() returns the
subset. The live half lives in corpus/live.ts; loader.ts re-exports it
as the single public surface.

Ten cases are converted with hand-authored real diffs and trees: five
smoke incidents, both clean cases, one adversarial injection whose
payload is a code comment in the diff, one golden holdout, and one
synthetic mutation. Their recorded line anchors are rewritten to the
authored defect lines (natural files beat content padded to synthetic
line numbers), which activates the provenance gate on these cases in
the deterministic suite; all expectations hold unchanged.
…action and case staging

Phases 2a/2b of the live A/B eval plan (#232), stacked on the Phase 1
corpus format (#233).

agent-extract.ts turns review.md's '## agent:' sections into data
(name, description, pinned model, prompt body). It takes the markdown
as a string with no fs access, because the baseline arm of an A/B
reads the merge-base review.md via git show. Parsing is strict; a
malformed or model-less section throws listing every problem, since a
silently dropped agent would skew an eval arm without failing it. An
integration test extracts the real review.md (21 agents) and pins the
staging-root reference so a future rename fails a test instead of
silently staging nothing.

live-stage.ts materializes the production staging layout for one
live-enabled corpus case: pr-context.json (review.md Step 1's shape,
synthetic identity fields), full.diff / pr.diff / full-stripped.diff
(all the case diff; corpus diffs carry no generated files and no
pattern-triage pass runs), files.json + review-files.json with the
hasPatch cross-check derived from the diff parse, provenance.json,
routing.json from the deterministic router, an out/ directory, and
the post-change checkout copied from the case tree.
rewriteAgentPrompt swaps the production staging root for the staged
context dir. Everything sits behind an injected-fs seam and is
memfs-tested.

Model dispatch (phase 2c) is deliberately absent; it needs the Agent
SDK dependency decision and arrives separately.
… runner (phase 2c)

live-producer.ts runs the live roster over one staged case behind an
injected LiveAgentRunner seam (the judge.ts pattern), so its logic is
stub-tested with zero model calls. Roster: the default finders
(correctness-reviewer, skill-auditor) plus the router's lensesToSpawn;
no pattern-triage or thread-reconciler in eval. It maps all three
sub-agent output contracts into the shapes the deterministic runner
consumes: label-shape findings (correctness lens, or conventions for
the skill-auditor so labelForFinding reproduces the best-practice
variants; confidence defaulted to 0.7 per the production claims rule),
structured-schema lens findings validated as-is, and the validator's
{claims: [...]} verdicts into CaseVerification[]. It stages
claims.json for the validator, resolves {{#runtime-import}} directives
against the case tree (a case opts into a skills index by carrying the
file), retries once on malformed output with the rejection fed back,
keeps partial results when an agent fails twice, prefixes colliding
finding ids, and reports per-agent cost/turns/wall-clock.

live-runner.ts is the one module that touches a real model runtime:
an Agent SDK query() per dispatch with Read/Grep/Glob only, cwd pinned
to the staged checkout, the agent's pinned model, and hard turn and
wall-clock caps; plus the CLI smoke entry
(tsx live-runner.ts --case <id>, requires ANTHROPIC_API_KEY). The
investigation-cap CLI the prompts reference is not staged; its own
denied-budget fallback applies. Adds @anthropic-ai/claude-agent-sdk
as a dev dependency.
live-match.ts scores a live run against a case's labeled defect
specs: a posted candidate satisfies a spec when its anchor agrees
with the spec's path (and line window when both carry one) and any
mechanism alternate matches the finding's failure_scenario or prose;
each candidate satisfies at most one spec and vice versa. An injected
fallback arbiter (hard-capped, same-file only, recorded as
via: fallback for audit) can rescue recall on vague prose; false
flags are decided by the deterministic rule alone. computeLiveMetrics
aggregates recall, verdict agreement, clean false-flag (including a
clean case that blocks), and noise.

live-ab.ts is the arm orchestrator and CLI: baseline review.md from
git show <merge-base>, candidate from the working tree, both arms
over the same live corpus with everything else (corpus, lib, runner,
metrics, judge) from the candidate, per the plan's settled decision
to isolate the model seam. Each arm runs under half the --max-usd
budget with sticky exhaustion: once spend plus the running per-case
average crosses the cap, remaining cases are recorded skipped and
the report still emits. Spec-level regressions are diffed only over
cases both arms scored. Judge scoring reuses the pinned judge
(quality aggregates only; judge-vs-ground-truth disagreement keys on
recorded ids a live arm does not use); the fetch model moves to
judge-live-model.ts and live-judge.ts now imports it. runner.ts
gains an optional RunOptions.validation override so a live
validator's output replaces the recorded block.

Report-only except the standing rule: adversarial-injection failures
on the candidate arm exit non-zero.
Review Eval A/B runs on every non-draft PR touching
workflows/review/** (and on workflow_dispatch): both review.md arms
over the live corpus via live-ab.ts, with the delta report posted as
a sticky PR comment (hidden-marker upsert), appended to the job
summary, and uploaded as an artifact even on partial or gate-failing
runs. Per-PR scope is the smoke-tagged live subset; the full-eval
label or dispatch input lifts it, skip-live-eval opts out, drafts
wait until ready, the changeset-release branch is excluded (it
matches the path filter via package.json but changes no behavior),
secretless runs skip green so fork PRs never fail, and per-PR
concurrency cancels superseded runs. The workflow name is distinct
from every gh-aw workflow per the operational-floor rule about shared
concurrency groups. live-ab.ts gains --smoke-only and writes
out/live-ab-report.md alongside the JSON for the comment step.
… and vitest

Tree directories are byte-exact case fixtures paired with each case's
diff: prettier auto-formatting one would silently desync it from the
diff the provenance gate parses, and a tree may carry a *.test.ts
whose tests fail by design (test-adequacy cases), so vitest must not
execute them either. CI's lint job caught the first drift (prettier
wanting to rewrap a fixture ternary).
…rpus' into jwbron/live-eval-producer-staging
…s with the case id

Live agents choose their own finding ids, so every case's first
correctness finding was live-correctness-reviewer-1; ids were unique
within a case but collided across cases, and judge.ts's score join
requires arm-global uniqueness. Caught by the first real A/B run
(both arms completed, then judge aggregation threw). Ids are now
<caseId>:<id> from the moment of parsing, so claims.json, the
validator round-trip, the matcher, and the judge all see the same
namespaced id.
…eport instead of killing it

The first real A/B run spent both arms' budgets and then died in
judge aggregation, writing no report: the exact
everything-spent-nothing-posted failure mode the plan forbids. Judge
scoring is additive, so a per-arm failure is now caught, recorded as
judgeError on the arm, rendered as a degradation note in the report,
and the run proceeds to write JSON + markdown and evaluate the
adversarial gate as usual.
…A/B phase 5)

Packages the seeded-defect live-trial pattern (Khan/webapp#40678) as
a Claude Code skill so a trial costs an operator an afternoon instead
of a week of hand choreography. The skill collects required inputs
(seeded branch, human-authored defect table, arms, budget approval)
and refuses to improvise ground truth; sets up one isolated PR per
arm with per-arm trigger recipes and the distinct-workflow-name rule
(same-named gh-aw workflows share a per-PR concurrency group and
cancel each other); collects reviews, artifacts, and costs per run
with the known gh-aw artifact-bug tolerance; drives optional
lifecycle pushes; scores defect by defect with the deterministic
rule mirroring eval/live-match.ts plus audited manual judgment;
exports live-enabled corpus case skeletons with a sanitization gate
for private-repo content landing in this public repo; and cleans up
trial PRs, branches, and temporary workflows. Trials remain the
architecture-bet instrument; per-change evals belong to the corpus
A/B.

.gitignore narrows from .claude to .claude/* with a !.claude/skills/
carve-out: local agent state (settings, worktrees) stays untracked,
project skills are shared tooling and are committed.
…ity, code-rendered from the reconciler keep-list
…oad (allowed-paths must match staging-relative paths)
…ive case

The first live acceptance runs missed
incident-sql-missing-index:dm-missing-index-1 in all four arms: the
recorded finding is a data-migrations LENS finding, but live cases
carried no routerConfig lens rules, so the live roster never spawned
the specialist that catches it. Every live case whose recorded
finding belongs to a specialist lens now routes that lens on the
finding's file (seven cases across five lenses), mirroring how a
consumer ROUTING file would route the same paths in production.
…rpus' into jwbron/live-eval-producer-staging
… the A/B report

The acceptance runs surfaced a claim-validator failure that the
report could only name, not explain (perCase carried agent names
only, and the PerAgentReport.failed detail never reached the
markdown). perCase failedAgents entries are now '<agent>: <reason>',
so the next failure is diagnosable from the sticky comment alone.
jwbron added 13 commits July 9, 2026 19:13
…powered runs, drift watch, sql-index case fix

The eval instrument's percentage deltas sit below the one-case noise floor;
this lands the memo's measurement items. eval/aggregate.ts pools N report
artifacts into per-case pass rates with Wilson intervals and pooled rows
(reproduces the 07-10 cumulative numbers exactly); live-ab.ts --repeats runs
one powered dispatch with a strict-majority adversarial gate; the weekly
review-eval-drift.yml workflow runs full corpus x3 on main and publishes the
aggregate; identical-arm pools render noise-floor bands as data.

incident-sql-missing-index diagnosed against all 28 recorded arm-runs: the
reviewer found the missing index every single time; the 8/16 catch rate was
the spec accepting only the migration-file anchor while the reviewer anchored
the same blocking finding at the hot query (11 runs) or had it provenance-
dropped on a mis-anchor (2 runs). Specs gain altLocations; the case accepts
the query-site anchor and its residual misses now classify found-but-dropped
(the anchor-snap defect class), not recall.
…rbiter on the pinned Haiku snapshot

Fills the MatchFallback seam in live-match.ts: when a spec stays unmatched
after the deterministic pass and a posted candidate shares its file, a
pinned claude-haiku-4-5-20251001 answers one yes/no question (same defect,
same root cause?), biased to no since a false yes inflates recall. All seam
guard rails inherited: capped per case, same-file only, matches recorded
via 'fallback' for audit. API failures degrade to non-matches through
onError; both arms share the matcher so the A/B delta stays unbiased.
On by default in live-ab.ts; --no-match-arbiter restores deterministic-only
matching. This targets the 54-69% 'unmatched posted' readings, implausibly
high as true noise.
…nderers into live-ab-report.ts

CI's max-lines (1000) caught live-ab.ts at 1011 after the repeats and
arbiter work; this worktree cannot run eslint locally (dot-dir ignore).
The report types (ArmRunReport, AbReport, MultiAbReport, gate types) and
both markdown renderers move to a leaf module with no runner dependency;
live-ab.ts re-exports them so the import surface is unchanged.
…t after every repeat

A multi-repeat run carries tens of dollars of spend but wrote its artifact
only at the end, so a crash or cancellation on repeat n forfeited repeats
1..n-1 (the exact dies-with-nothing-emitted failure mode the plan forbids;
the workflow's always() artifact upload had nothing to grab). Each completed
repeat now overwrites the out path with the accumulated partial payload,
which aggregate.ts already pools via its repeats-field handling.
…or in the report footer

Bought per the memo's item 6: run 29069228968 (--force-arms --repeats 3,
full 14-case corpus, $58.71 under the $60 clamp) gives 6 arm-samples of
one review.md. Measured bands: must-catch recall 54-86%, verdict agreement
75-100%, noise 50-60%, judge quality 0.82-0.86. Every single-run report now
renders these as data with provenance, replacing prose guesswork; a delta
whose arms both sit inside a band is wobble, and the footer points at
--repeats for smaller effects. Pre-arbiter measurement; the weekly drift
run re-measures with the arbiter active.
…budget to $85

The noise-floor dispatch showed the live corpus is now 14 cases (the #251
golden re-review set), and the $60 default trimmed case-runs on both arms
(38 and 36 of 42; $58.71 spent at the clamp). $85 covers 6 full arm-runs
at the measured ~$10/arm-run with landing headroom, so the weekly aggregate
never carries budget-skip asymmetry.
…port opens a visibility PR

workflows/review/eval/README.md is the guide an agent or engineer needs to
run the eval system cold: the three tiers, every live-ab flag and CI entry
point, powered-run recipes with real costs, corpus-growth rules (target the
20-80% band), report-reading guidance anchored on the measured noise floor,
model pins, and the harness's historical limits (nothing before the
2026-07-08 structured-agent architecture runs under it).

The weekly drift run now also opens a PR committing the report markdown and
compact aggregate under .github/review-eval/drift/ (changeset-gate-excluded,
outside the A/B path filter): a job summary nobody opens is not a drift
watch, and merged report PRs accumulate an in-repo time series.
…-floor statistics, rolling repeat budgets

Findings from an adversarial pass over the instrument's own claims:

Reports now stamp their ruler (matcher configuration + a content hash of
the loaded corpus); the aggregate prints it, warns when a pool mixes
rulers, and the drift series stays interpretable across instrument
upgrades like the arbiter default or corpus growth, which move every rate
without the reviewer changing.

Noise-floor bands gain SD (min/max are extreme-value statistics that only
widen as samples accumulate; mean +/- sd is the stable band) and a loud
case-asymmetry warning: the 2026-07-10 measurement had budget skips, so
its published v1 bands fold case-mix variance in on top of wobble; the
footer constants and provenance string now say so.

Repeat budgets roll: each arm-run's slice is the remaining budget over the
remaining arm-runs, so cheap early arms donate headroom forward instead of
stranding it (fixed slices caused the 38/36-of-42 skip asymmetry that
contaminated the noise-floor run). README gains a statistical-honesty
section: clustered-interval optimism, the repeats-gate relaxation, and the
arbiter's uncalibrated refuse bias.
…hange-provenance gate

The reviewer produces right-file, right-mechanism findings at wrong line
numbers (it appears to sometimes count unified-diff text lines instead of
file lines: observed anchors at line 24 of an 18-line file and line 8 of
a 3-line file), and the provenance gate then drops them; since only
surviving blocking labels feed the computed verdict, a correct blocking
finding dying at the gate can flip REQUEST_CHANGES to APPROVE. Observed
on adversarial-injection-approve, golden-request-changes-authz, the
sql-index replay, and production main's own baseline arm.

Before setting a line-anchored finding aside, the gate now snaps it to
the nearest changed line in the same file under two windows: a 3-line
near-miss window (the unified diff's context width) and an overflow
window for anchors past every shown line by no more than the file's
diff-text overhead (exactly the counting mis-anchor's overshoot bound).
Ties break toward the lower line. Snapped findings keep their severity,
post at the snapped anchor, and are recorded for audit (out/snapped.json
in production, snappedByProvenance in eval results); findings outside
both windows keep today's set-aside behavior. provenance.json carries a
precomputed per-file snap lookup so review.md's gate stays a dictionary
lookup. The live A/B emulates each arm's own review.md gate version,
keyed on the anchor-snap marker, so the baseline arm replays the
pre-snap gate and the powered run prices this change.
…istic smoke case

provenance-anchor-snap-rescued replays the observed production anatomy
in the per-push CI gate: a correct blocking finding anchored at the
diff-text line (past the end of a short file, at the exact overflow
edge) snaps to the nearest changed line, posts there, and drives
REQUEST_CHANGES, while a far-anchored pre-existing observation in the
same run is still set aside unposted. Deterministic and smoke-tagged
only, so the live ruler (corpus stamp over live-tagged cases) is
untouched and the in-flight powered run stays comparable. Also
documents how to audit snap records (from/to distance separates the
near-miss and overflow classes).
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🦋 Changeset detected

Latest commit: e0b347d

The changes in this PR will be included in the next version bump.

This PR includes changesets to release 1 package
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Review live A/B

No reviewable delta: review.md is byte-identical in both arms (baseline origin/main, sha ce260c7c40a9), so the extracted prompts and the orchestrator body match and no arms were run. Pass --force-arms for a deliberate wobble control.

@khan-actions-bot
khan-actions-bot requested review from a team, jaredly and somewhatabstract and removed request for a team July 10, 2026 20:44
…st on unknown ids

The smoke scope filtered the corpus before the case filter, so a
powered dispatch naming a non-smoke case silently dropped it: the
anchor-snap pricing run named two cases and the paid report covered
one without saying so. --cases is now an exact selection (bypasses
--smoke-only, preserves order, dedupes) and any id matching no live
case throws before a single model call. The workflow needs no change;
it already passes both flags and the case list now wins.
@jwbron
jwbron changed the base branch from jwbron/anchor-snap-provenance to main July 13, 2026 19:28
…n' into jwbron/eval-case-selection

# Conflicts:
#	.changeset/review-anchor-snap.md
#	.github/workflows/review-eval-ab.yml
#	workflows/review/eval/README.md
#	workflows/review/eval/aggregate.test.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/corpus/live.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/corpus/loader.test.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/corpus/loader.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/corpus/smoke/provenance-anchor-snap-rescued.json
#	workflows/review/eval/live-ab.test.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/live-ab.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/live-match.ts
#	workflows/review/eval/live-stage.ts
#	workflows/review/lib/disciplines.test.ts
#	workflows/review/lib/provenance.test.ts
#	workflows/review/lib/provenance.ts
#	workflows/review/lib/rereview-mode.ts
#	workflows/review/review.md
@jwbron
jwbron merged commit 6b1b3c7 into main Jul 13, 2026
6 checks passed
@jwbron
jwbron deleted the jwbron/eval-case-selection branch July 13, 2026 19:32
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Review Guidance

github-actions (1 file)
File Reason
live-ab.ts Eval A/B runner. This change alters the --cases/--smoke-only selection semantics, so a selection bug would silently shrink or corrupt a paid measurement rather than fail loudly.
Excluded from review (1 file)

Not individually reviewed — generated, formatting-only, or fully explained by a common pattern above:

  • workflows/review/eval/README.md — formatting-only

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Note: holistic review not assessed this run (shed for run budget on this low-risk change).
Note: first-principles review not assessed this run (shed for run budget on this low-risk change).
Note: conventions review not assessed this run (shed for run budget on this low-risk change).
Note: claim validation not assessed this run (the single non-blocking candidate was posted unvalidated under run budget).

options: {smokeOnly: boolean; caseFilter?: string[]},
): CorpusCase[] => {
const {caseFilter} = options;
if (caseFilter !== undefined) {

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suggestion (non-blocking): The empty-caseFilter ([]) branch is untested. It is distinct from undefined — it takes this if branch, bypasses the smoke scope, and returns [] — and is reachable in practice, since main()'s new --cases trim/filter turns --cases "" or --cases ,, into []. A future refactor that treated [] as "no filter" and fell back to the full corpus would defeat the fail-fast intent, and no current test would catch it. Consider adding to the selectCases block:

it("an empty case list selects nothing, even under a smoke scope", () => {
    expect(selectCases(corpus(), {smokeOnly: true, caseFilter: []})).toEqual([]);
});

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