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work: record three cmux CI wins measured 09-26 - #865

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impact-ci-wins-0926
Sep 26, 2026
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impact-ci-wins-0926

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Records the CI wins measured on 2026-09-26. Every number cites a run, job, or PR comment.

Record Headline Confidence
cmux#14776 UI E2E run creation to test start 659 s to 250 s when the PR CI product already exists (best case; a dispatch waiting on an in-flight admission saves less or can finish later) observed
cmux#14774 PR CI attempt-1 macOS 26 job-minutes on owned minis 56.2% to 88.9%; queue wait p50 200 s to 17 s measured (first night, not load-matched; no fleet-wide Blacksmith saving claimed)
cmux#14768 Guard attribution: capability record, no numeric claim (92 s replay in the evidence) n/a

Measurement comment for #14774: manaflow-ai/cmux#14774 (comment)

Not recorded: the refusal-cascade changes (cmux#14758, glaeda#1272, hq#717) showed no measurable change (manaflow-ai/cmux#14758 (comment)); cmux#14766, hq#734 and cmux#14778 are pending measurement.

Reviewed by two subagent passes; both ledgers' build and check pass.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

- cmux#14776: UI E2E run creation to test start 659 s to 250 s when the
  PR CI product already exists (observed, one run each, best case).
- cmux#14774: PR CI attempt-1 macOS 26 job-minutes on owned minis 56.2%
  to 88.9%, queue wait p50 200 s to 17 s (measured, first night, not
  load-matched; no fleet-wide Blacksmith saving claimed).
- cmux#14768: guard attribution, capability record without a numeric
  claim (92 s replay kept in the evidence).

Reviewed by two subagent passes.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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teamleaderleo merged commit 1b6d448 into main Sep 26, 2026
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teamleaderleo deleted the impact-ci-wins-0926 branch September 26, 2026 05:08
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