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62 changes: 61 additions & 1 deletion README.md
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# covid19-smh-research
# COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub - Research


This repository follows the guidelines and standards outlined by the hubverse,
which provides a set of data formats and open source tools for modeling hubs.

The Consortium of Infectious Disease Modeling Hubs. The hubverse: open tools for
collaborative modeling. GitHub release v2.0.0, 14 Jul 2023. URL: https://github.com/Infectious-Disease-Modeling-Hubs

## How to participate

The Scenario Modeling Hub is open to any team willing to provide projections
at the right temporal and spatial scales, with minimal gatekeeping. We only
require that participating teams share point estimates and uncertainty bounds,
along with a short model description and answers to a list of key questions
about design. A major output of the projection hub is ensemble estimates of
epidemic outcomes (e.g., infection, hospitalizations, and deaths), for different
time points, intervention scenarios, and US jurisdictions.

Those interested to participate, please read the README file and email us at
[email protected]


## Target Data

The repository contains a [target-data](./target-data/) folder relevant to the modeling efforts.
It contains COVID-19 case and death time series by race/ethnicity.

For more information, please consult the associated [README file](./target-data/README.md)

## Data license and reuse

All source code that is specific to the overall project is available under an
open-source [MIT license](https://opensource.org/licenses/MIT). We note that
this license does NOT cover model code from the various teams, model scenario
data (available under specified licenses as described above) and auxiliary data.

## Computational power

Those teams interested in accessing additional computational power should
contact Katriona Shea at [email protected]. Additional resources might be available
from the ]MIDAS Coordination Center](https://midasnetwork.us/) - please
contact [email protected] for information.

## The RSV Scenario Modeling Hub Coordination Team

- Shaun Truelove, Johns Hopkins University
- Cécile Viboud, NIH Fogarty
- Justin Lessler, University of North Carolina
- Sara Loo, Johns Hopkins University
- Lucie Contamin, University of Pittsburgh
- Emily Howerton, Penn State University
- Claire Smith, Johns Hopkins University
- Harry Hochheiser, University of Pittsburgh
- Katriona Shea, Penn State University
- Michael Runge, USGS
- Erica Carcelen, John Hopkins University
- Sung-mok Jung, University of North Carolina
- Jessi Espino, University of Pittsburgh
- John Levander, University of Pittsburgh
- Katie Yan, Penn State University
50 changes: 50 additions & 0 deletions target-data/README.md
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# Target Data

This folder is used to store target data (also called "ground truth" or
"truth data") relevant to the modeling efforts.

It contains the calibration data for phase 1 and 2 of the COVID-19
Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) Disparities Round.

For any questions or issues, please contact [email protected].

### Demographic data

Data is reported for incident cases and deaths.

Race/ethnicity grouping in North Carolina
includes `"black"`, `"white"`, `"asian"`, and `"other"`.
Here `"other"` represents the sum of other and Hispanic/Latino.

Race/ethnicity
grouping in California includes `"latino"`, `"black"`, `"white"`,
`"asian"`, and `"other"`. All non-Latino groups are non-Hispanic and
`"latino"` represents both Latino and Hispanic.

[`target_data_phase1.csv`](./target_data_phase1.csv): Calibration
data to be used for Phase 1.
This file contains incident cases and deaths for California and
North Carolina as reported to respective public health departments
up until 11/14/2020.

[target_data_phase2.csv](./target_data_phase2.csv): Calibration data
to be used for Phase 2.
This file contains incident cases and deaths for California and
North Carolina as reported to respective public health departments
up until 4/3/2021.

Case demographic data is sourced from the
[COVID-19 Race-Ethnicity Timeseries](https://data.chhs.ca.gov/dataset/covid-19-equity-metrics/resource/ef29f30e-320c-46cf-86cd-37a36663616d) from
California Department of Public Health and
[NC COVID-19 Dashboard Data](https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard/data-behind-dashboards)
from the North Carolina Department of Public Health.
Death demographic data is sourced from
[The National Center for Health Statistics](https://wonder.cdc.gov/mcd-icd10-provisional.html)

### Overall population data

[cases_overall_jhu.csv](./cases_overall_jhu.csv): Overall cases reported
to Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering (JHU-CSSE)
in California and North Carolina. This gives full cases reported, whereas
the public health department case data has some missingness by
race/ethnicity.
127 changes: 127 additions & 0 deletions target-data/cases_overall_jhu.csv
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"location","date","value","race_ethnicity","target"
"06","2020-01-25",0,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-02-01",3,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-02-08",3,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-02-15",2,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-02-22",0,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-02-29",3,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-03-07",81,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-03-14",241,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-03-21",1061,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-03-28",6118,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-04-04",5320,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-04-11",8627,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-04-18",9181,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-04-25",11790,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-05-02",11451,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-05-09",13378,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-05-16",12208,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-05-23",14077,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-05-30",17986,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-06-06",18378,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-06-13",20765,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-06-20",26769,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-06-27",39932,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-07-04",49494,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-07-11",61250,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-07-18",62557,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-07-25",66880,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-08-01",57986,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-08-08",46413,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-08-15",65502,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-08-22",41872,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-08-29",36280,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-09-05",32449,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-09-12",23025,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-09-19",24011,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-09-26",24654,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-10-03",23631,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-10-10",23439,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-10-17",21876,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-10-24",31733,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-10-31",29834,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-11-07",41873,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-11-14",57118,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-11-21",89098,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-11-28",101640,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-12-05",155691,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-12-12",225121,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-12-19",310548,"overall","inc case"
"06","2020-12-26",277574,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-01-02",282372,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-01-09",295678,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-01-16",278911,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-01-23",172340,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-01-30",139182,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-02-06",98940,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-02-13",70839,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-02-20",46798,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-02-27",38740,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-03-06",31349,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-03-13",24392,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-03-20",20587,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-03-27",18753,"overall","inc case"
"06","2021-04-03",18793,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-01-25",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-02-01",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-02-08",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-02-15",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-02-22",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-02-29",0,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-03-07",2,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-03-14",30,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-03-21",255,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-03-28",818,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-04-04",1530,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-04-11",1900,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-04-18",1989,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-04-25",2405,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-05-02",3000,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-05-09",3073,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-05-16",3752,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-05-23",4569,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-05-30",5413,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-06-06",6985,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-06-13",8574,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-06-20",8714,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-06-27",9727,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-07-04",11043,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-07-11",12713,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-07-18",14002,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-07-25",13633,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-08-01",12953,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-08-08",11147,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-08-15",9793,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-08-22",10869,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-08-29",11488,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-09-05",10318,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-09-12",8250,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-09-19",9321,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-09-26",9508,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-10-03",9112,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-10-10",12866,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-10-17",13973,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-10-24",14567,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-10-31",16343,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-11-07",16610,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-11-14",17873,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-11-21",23143,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-11-28",25697,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-12-05",30594,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-12-12",41224,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-12-19",42492,"overall","inc case"
"37","2020-12-26",41662,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-01-02",44507,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-01-09",55918,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-01-16",53471,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-01-23",44890,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-01-30",39911,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-02-06",38894,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-02-13",27203,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-02-20",21372,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-02-27",18452,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-03-06",13628,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-03-13",10539,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-03-20",12548,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-03-27",10265,"overall","inc case"
"37","2021-04-03",10631,"overall","inc case"
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