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BA.5.1.21 (Orf1b:G662S) sublineage defined by Orf9b:D2G circulating in Denmark (310 sequences) #1192

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FedeGueli opened this issue Oct 9, 2022 · 2 comments
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@FedeGueli
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Ba.5.1.21 is a lineage defined by the infamous delta signature Orf1b:G662S.

While checking how it was going how it is doing i noticed with CovSpectrum new tool "Mutations over time" that the mutation Orf9b:D2G (A28288G) was increasing its share in the BA.5.1.21 lineage, so this usually means some growth advantage/or founder effect is ongoing.

Being that all the last fastest lineages as BA.5.2 before and BQ.1 now are characterized by an Orf9b mutation i checked the growth advantage of this potential sublineage and it was quite clear:
Schermata 2022-10-09 alle 12 02 34
https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past2M/variants?nextcladePangoLineage=BA.5.1.21*&aaMutations1=ORF9b%3AD2G&nextcladePangoLineage1=BA.5.1.21*&analysisMode=CompareToBaseline&

Tree:
Schermata 2022-10-09 alle 12 04 00
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_3345d_29b5e0.json?branchLabel=nuc%20mutations&c=country&label=nuc%20mutations:A28288G

Interestingly it is showing already a discrete level of diversity
with two main branches defined by Nuc mutations: one of A12841G , the other with T14046C.
Schermata 2022-10-09 alle 12 07 40

It is already spread in multiple countries
GeographicDistribution
Reaching over 0,5% of sequences in Denmark during the last month and we know well that every new fast variant already showed up in Denmark during last 30Days.

It counts 286 sequences on Usher
276 sequences on covspectrum with BA.5.1.21* (Nextclade) + ORF9b:D2G
https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past6M/variants?aaMutations=ORF9b%3AD2G&nextcladePangoLineage=BA.5.1.21*&nextcladePangoLineage1=BA.5.1.21*&

List of sequences:
contributors.csv

Unfortunately no Gisaid query could catch this one as a whole the only one catches just the lower branch with Orf3a:d155Y: NS3_D155Y,NSP12_G671S,NSP14_D379N 845 sequences as today

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title BA.5.1.21 8Orf1b:G662S) sublineage defined by Orf9b:D2G circulating in Denmark (286 sequences) BA.5.1.21 (Orf1b:G662S) sublineage defined by Orf9b:D2G circulating in Denmark (286 sequences) Oct 9, 2022
@corneliusroemer corneliusroemer added the low priority For issues that are low priority for now label Oct 11, 2022
@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title BA.5.1.21 (Orf1b:G662S) sublineage defined by Orf9b:D2G circulating in Denmark (286 sequences) BA.5.1.21 (Orf1b:G662S) sublineage defined by Orf9b:D2G circulating in Denmark (310 sequences) Oct 15, 2022
@FedeGueli
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310 seqs as today

@InfrPopGen InfrPopGen self-assigned this Oct 17, 2022
InfrPopGen added a commit that referenced this issue Oct 17, 2022
Added new lineage BT.2 from #1192 with 50 new sequence designations, and 119 updated designations from BA.5.1.21
@InfrPopGen InfrPopGen added designated and removed low priority For issues that are low priority for now labels Oct 17, 2022
@InfrPopGen InfrPopGen added this to the BT.2 milestone Oct 17, 2022
@InfrPopGen
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Thanks for submitting. We've added lineage BT.2 with 50 newly designated sequences, and 119 updated designations from BA.5.1.21. Defining mutation A28288G (ORF9b:D2G).

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