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update line re innovations residuals
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eeholmes committed Feb 9, 2021
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion Lab-fitting-DLMs/DLM.Rmd
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Expand Up @@ -872,7 +872,7 @@ head(SR_data)
\text{log}(R_t/S_t) &= \alpha_t + v_t
\end{align*}

This model assumes no density-dependent survival in that the number of recruits is an ascending function of spawners. Plot the ts of $\alpha_t$ and note the AICc for this model. Also plot appropriate model diagnostics.
This model assumes no density-dependent survival in that the number of recruits is an ascending function of spawners. Plot the ts of $\alpha_t$ and note the AICc for this model. Also plot appropriate model diagnostics. `residuals()` will return the innovations residuals for your fits.

2. Fit the full model specified by Equation \@ref(eq:dlm-lnTVRicker). For this model, obtain the time series of $\alpha_t$, which is an estimate of the stock productivity in the absence of density-dependent effects. How do these estimates of productivity compare to those from the previous question? Plot the ts of $\alpha_t$ and note the AICc for this model. Also plot appropriate model diagnostics. ($Hint$: If you don't want a parameter to vary with time, what does that say about its process variance?)

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