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NCAA Football Rankings Algorithm

This is a rather simple ranking algorithm for NCAA Division 1 FBS Football

Algorithm Considerations

  1. Only wins and losses count, no consideration is given to home field advantage, margin of victory or overtime
  2. Wins and losses are weighted by the strength of the opponent being faced, losing to the best team is equal to winning against the worst team
  3. Playing a Division 1 FCS team will be counted as playing the worst team in Division 1 FBS

Current Rankings(Dec 11, 2019):

  1. Ohio State (13-0): 1.0
  2. Louisiana State (13-0): 0.9287950598108757
  3. Clemson (13-0): 0.8767555679637756
  4. Memphis (12-1): 0.8487783925680672
  5. Oklahoma (12-1): 0.8434841040829566
  6. Notre Dame (10-2): 0.8205394059987996
  7. Boise State (12-1): 0.8169386321615643
  8. Georgia (11-2): 0.814097564501177
  9. Penn State (10-2): 0.80944111094942
  10. Wisconsin (10-3): 0.802212917431756
  11. Oregon (11-2): 0.799415191464357
  12. Appalachian State (12-1): 0.7831934487663275
  13. Utah (11-2): 0.7807129442256466
  14. Michigan (9-3): 0.7789677042640807
  15. Cincinnati (10-3): 0.7681855193296134
  16. Southern Methodist (10-2): 0.7625540244158341
  17. Baylor (11-2): 0.761013422261854
  18. Navy (9-2): 0.7570589111937602
  19. Florida (10-2): 0.7568475924450044
  20. Minnesota (10-2): 0.7517540622595188
  21. Auburn (9-3): 0.7471388555828561
  22. Iowa (9-3): 0.7464988009743699
  23. Air Force (10-2): 0.7327478411803815
  24. Alabama (10-2): 0.6997287351616732
  25. Southern California (8-4): 0.6913740947188542
  26. Louisiana (10-3): 0.669903552455246
  27. Central Florida (9-3): 0.6629648659463985
  28. Virginia (9-4): 0.6417873733963287
  29. Florida Atlantic (10-3): 0.633658493589882
  30. Oklahoma State (8-4): 0.6328168584378914
  31. Kansas State (8-4): 0.6286585356732186
  32. San Diego State (9-3): 0.6244012015289512
  33. Temple (8-4): 0.6222064010978152
  34. Texas (7-5): 0.6114521390859685
  35. Wake Forest (8-4): 0.6101148611940533
  36. Indiana (8-4): 0.6077738165195025
  37. Hawaii (9-5): 0.5914173273819768
  38. Louisville (7-5): 0.5886811125632812
  39. Washington (7-5): 0.5884002361398849
  40. Iowa State (7-5): 0.5867071456806504
  41. Arizona State (7-5): 0.584875206024635
  42. Marshall (8-4): 0.5834466384277357
  43. Utah State (7-5): 0.5803812731640332
  44. Tennessee (7-5): 0.5744206500493536
  45. Brigham Young (7-5): 0.5740460898455264
  46. Virginia Tech (8-4): 0.572209434952763
  47. Texas A&M (7-5): 0.5711464790945934
  48. Michigan State (6-6): 0.5643417061056135
  49. California (7-5): 0.5624921674276157
  50. Pittsburgh (7-5): 0.5580880856177429
  51. Miami (OH) (8-5): 0.5577083823893926
  52. Georgia Southern (7-5): 0.5453652254728167
  53. Kentucky (7-5): 0.5376832516113452
  54. Florida State (6-6): 0.5335093547821278
  55. Wyoming (7-5): 0.5253950212633536
  56. Arkansas State (7-5): 0.5211922947725584
  57. Tulane (6-6): 0.5174675065917163
  58. Western Kentucky (8-4): 0.5155238205456004
  59. North Carolina (6-6): 0.5086948041711645
  60. Louisiana Tech (9-3): 0.5077621943771498
  61. Georgia State (7-5): 0.4997984022346519
  62. Mississippi State (6-6): 0.4990110125737439
  63. Boston College (6-6): 0.4972791242009209
  64. Buffalo (7-5): 0.497215686133974
  65. Illinois (6-6): 0.49677763368870126
  66. Central Michigan (8-5): 0.4953652406378607
  67. Western Michigan (7-5): 0.4937897673607946
  68. Miami (FL) (6-6): 0.49374307795553607
  69. Nevada (7-5): 0.49195076565153867
  70. Colorado (5-7): 0.4853844913748592
  71. Washington State (6-6): 0.48318307913834285
  72. Nebraska (5-7): 0.4697255873351351
  73. Charlotte (7-5): 0.46862256671456504
  74. Alabama-Birmingham (9-4): 0.4615254243247368
  75. Texas Christian (5-7): 0.46006590989097323
  76. Missouri (6-6): 0.45768912854584975
  77. Oregon State (5-7): 0.45631376171103605
  78. Tulsa (4-8): 0.4467282113638202
  79. Kent State (6-6): 0.44526099979218425
  80. UCLA (4-8): 0.443463358890738
  81. West Virginia (5-7): 0.43608930977329985
  82. Duke (5-7): 0.43439252399040756
  83. South Carolina (4-8): 0.4316783264460411
  84. Ohio (6-6): 0.4283115844885367
  85. Louisiana-Monroe (5-7): 0.42785787603523784
  86. Toledo (6-6): 0.4249741904551453
  87. Syracuse (5-7): 0.416498555094679
  88. Stanford (4-8): 0.41637491785493874
  89. Liberty (7-5): 0.4158734633225145
  90. South Florida (4-8): 0.41051789568946156
  91. Purdue (4-8): 0.4090472979583494
  92. Eastern Michigan (6-6): 0.40731485355020797
  93. Houston (4-8): 0.40335982539189374
  94. Ball State (5-7): 0.3852889129539475
  95. Florida International (6-6): 0.38439032523593286
  96. Arizona (4-8): 0.38328695673406016
  97. San Jose State (5-7): 0.3813690179274348
  98. Mississippi (4-8): 0.3634325797404734
  99. Coastal Carolina (5-7): 0.36002550570505576
  100. Northern Illinois (5-7): 0.3563625169900202
  101. Fresno State (4-8): 0.34817872295419383
  102. Texas Tech (4-8): 0.3469992417265955
  103. Maryland (3-9): 0.34578693735976634
  104. Army (5-7): 0.3381829711399166
  105. Northwestern (3-9): 0.3381034720877488
  106. North Carolina State (4-8): 0.3349871650037032
  107. Troy (5-7): 0.32984717029362864
  108. Colorado State (4-8): 0.3238780450032202
  109. Nevada-Las Vegas (4-8): 0.3200505857048249
  110. Georgia Tech (3-9): 0.31789628436459394
  111. Kansas (3-9): 0.3136993570243686
  112. Middle Tennessee State (4-8): 0.3121548426106016
  113. East Carolina (4-8): 0.31104630024443763
  114. Rutgers (2-10): 0.2994983356922052
  115. Vanderbilt (3-9): 0.2935944784742866
  116. Texas State (3-9): 0.28335272829456387
  117. Bowling Green State (3-9): 0.25663873322850606
  118. Arkansas (2-10): 0.23375969651416587
  119. North Texas (4-8): 0.23232528777884748
  120. Texas-San Antonio (4-8): 0.2262642248524697
  121. South Alabama (2-10): 0.22429121960975096
  122. New Mexico (2-10): 0.2207704616007206
  123. Rice (3-9): 0.21376114553015965
  124. Connecticut (2-10): 0.2098837736623518
  125. New Mexico State (2-10): 0.14414410691404658
  126. Old Dominion (1-11): 0.11021517617397296
  127. Massachusetts (1-11): 0.029558305707380023
  128. Akron (0-12): 0.019132324077504308
  129. Texas-El Paso (1-11): 0.0

Strength of Schedule

  1. Ohio State: 1.0
  2. Wisconsin: 0.9869725934427017
  3. Cincinnati: 0.8753651049300993
  4. Michigan: 0.8385921811868238
  5. Georgia: 0.8103920997834767
  6. Louisiana State: 0.7862464809243291
  7. Tulsa: 0.7744189244536646
  8. Michigan State: 0.7718208724769646
  9. UCLA: 0.7633744384805258
  10. Notre Dame: 0.7570798632556638
  11. Southern California: 0.7548859273172349
  12. Oregon: 0.7534441724678481
  13. Auburn: 0.7355566835586975
  14. Penn State: 0.7341061334334705
  15. Iowa: 0.7322539658299341
  16. Rutgers: 0.7294149739893401
  17. Memphis: 0.7250889977502647
  18. South Carolina: 0.7222410315699201
  19. Texas: 0.7157832140329078
  20. Oklahoma: 0.7077675871950068
  21. Utah: 0.7003122112256882
  22. Colorado: 0.6990880033450206
  23. Stanford: 0.6893658903737458
  24. Hawaii: 0.6855263850085869
  25. Maryland: 0.6787515795162765
  26. South Florida: 0.6735268984587834
  27. Nebraska: 0.6709546432827466
  28. Purdue: 0.6688817698621174
  29. Florida State: 0.6636490963584969
  30. Northwestern: 0.6555769783418867
  31. Houston: 0.652511696135623
  32. Baylor: 0.6465723063479507
  33. Virginia: 0.6405137005611508
  34. Louisville: 0.6395168849164976
  35. Washington: 0.6291956137155743
  36. Clemson: 0.6264125872401967
  37. Iowa State: 0.6259769400190693
  38. Texas Christian: 0.6254570491925843
  39. Utah State: 0.6226287975412815
  40. Boise State: 0.6222079647938953
  41. Oregon State: 0.6122802506543277
  42. Tulane: 0.6081220478087174
  43. Arizona State: 0.6042332542547688
  44. Texas A&M: 0.6033005661769436
  45. Tennessee: 0.5891416997476251
  46. Georgia Tech: 0.5863596554693128
  47. Southern Methodist: 0.5847138628840515
  48. Florida: 0.5833069704859709
  49. Arizona: 0.5830843968007889
  50. North Carolina: 0.5822397019197912
  51. Oklahoma State: 0.5747842463989011
  52. Brigham Young: 0.5724390915344777
  53. Kansas: 0.5661543499653925
  54. Mississippi State: 0.5615104176113523
  55. Miami (OH): 0.5607707883912811
  56. Boston College: 0.5555068668697113
  57. West Virginia: 0.553960028853068
  58. California: 0.5518279975723659
  59. Duke: 0.5487119144293573
  60. Kansas State: 0.5469737185383274
  61. Minnesota: 0.5442857920554801
  62. Mississippi: 0.5418933922633501
  63. Pittsburgh: 0.5403077185175567
  64. Illinois: 0.5312417713569909
  65. Miami (FL): 0.5297977252503452
  66. Louisiana-Monroe: 0.5294901586047034
  67. Temple: 0.5277030287161292
  68. Louisiana: 0.5271209284181515
  69. Arkansas: 0.5248071273811107
  70. Vanderbilt: 0.5218907077109542
  71. Navy: 0.5175477828933798
  72. Indiana: 0.5170150467034796
  73. Appalachian State: 0.5141236037893583
  74. Georgia Southern: 0.5110355187363336
  75. Wake Forest: 0.5074688282420473
  76. Washington State: 0.5038563565756978
  77. Syracuse: 0.49586318784208006
  78. Air Force: 0.49509830099179136
  79. South Alabama: 0.48814126564365556
  80. New Mexico: 0.48447590127342566
  81. Kentucky: 0.47963550028034196
  82. Texas Tech: 0.47671488663622913
  83. Fresno State: 0.47244573869901035
  84. Central Florida: 0.4684521989424064
  85. Texas State: 0.4680891574240119
  86. Wyoming: 0.44275385929383504
  87. North Carolina State: 0.4413495718525258
  88. Connecticut: 0.4375682354931255
  89. Arkansas State: 0.43031058694149843
  90. Missouri: 0.4295933280884913
  91. Florida Atlantic: 0.4276160201386591
  92. Marshall: 0.42741142042968244
  93. Colorado State: 0.40739003426403786
  94. Alabama: 0.4056518530981068
  95. Nevada-Las Vegas: 0.39599530579632863
  96. Bowling Green State: 0.39578539122124057
  97. Ball State: 0.3949247815289354
  98. Virginia Tech: 0.39382366585365075
  99. Kent State: 0.39214673732608146
  100. San Jose State: 0.39033967261007047
  101. Middle Tennessee State: 0.3653318764138941
  102. East Carolina: 0.36200932768323396
  103. Georgia State: 0.35917322419400577
  104. Buffalo: 0.35881957607818205
  105. San Diego State: 0.3530142554752588
  106. Central Michigan: 0.3502246018348455
  107. Nevada: 0.34239161143884783
  108. Western Michigan: 0.3412625235019333
  109. Ohio: 0.3346122375859142
  110. Old Dominion: 0.32889463439960526
  111. Toledo: 0.3245499379298297
  112. Coastal Carolina: 0.31951027486269035
  113. Northern Illinois: 0.3084103951635953
  114. Charlotte: 0.2739876161616294
  115. Eastern Michigan: 0.2719774560432326
  116. Rice: 0.2604323214077829
  117. Army: 0.2542161549407144
  118. Akron: 0.24590663062908463
  119. New Mexico State: 0.24124565442212922
  120. Troy: 0.2294481460898301
  121. Western Kentucky: 0.21744220764805705
  122. Florida International: 0.20355165987159707
  123. North Texas: 0.1269986273083704
  124. Texas-San Antonio: 0.10907991320426512
  125. Liberty: 0.10862428291333591
  126. Massachusetts: 0.0881783707607717
  127. Alabama-Birmingham: 0.04549821112885715
  128. Louisiana Tech: 0.005543367380164619
  129. Texas-El Paso: 0.0

Developed by Andy McSherry

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NCAA Football Rankings Algorithm

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