Skip to content

TristanGreathouse/neuralforecast

 
 

Repository files navigation

Nixtla   Tweet  Slack

Neural 🧠 Forecast

User friendly state-of-the-art neural forecasting models

CI Python PyPi conda-nixtla License docs

All Contributors

NeuralForecast offers a large collection of neural forecasting models focusing on their performance, usability, and robustness. The models range from classic networks like RNN to the latest transformers: MLP, LSTM, GRU,RNN,TCN, DeepAR, NBEATS, NBEATSx, NHITS, DLinear, NLinear,TFT, Informer, AutoFormer, FedFormer, PatchTST,StemGNN, and TimesNet.

Installation

You can install NeuralForecast with:

pip install neuralforecast

or

conda install -c conda-forge neuralforecast

Vist our Installation Guide for further details.

Quick Start

Minimal Example

from neuralforecast import NeuralForecast
from neuralforecast.models import NBEATS
from neuralforecast.utils import AirPassengersDF

nf = NeuralForecast(
    models = [NBEATS(input_size=24, h=12, max_steps=100)],
    freq = 'M'
)

nf.fit(df=AirPassengersDF)
nf.predict()

Get Started with this quick guide.

Why?

There is a shared belief in Neural forecasting methods' capacity to improve forecasting pipeline's accuracy and efficiency.

Unfortunately, available implementations and published research are yet to realize neural networks' potential. They are hard to use and continuously fail to improve over statistical methods while being computationally prohibitive. For this reason, we created NeuralForecast, a library favoring proven accurate and efficient models focusing on their usability.

Features

  • Fast and accurate implementations of MLP, LSTM, GRU,RNN,TCN, DeepAR, NBEATS, NBEATSx, NHITS, DLinear,TFT, Informer, AutoFormer, FedFormer, PatchTST,StemGNN, and TimesNet. See the entire collection here.
  • Support for exogenous variables and static covariates.
  • Interpretability methods for trend, seasonality and exogenous components.
  • Probabilistic Forecasting with adapters for quantile losses and parametric distributions.
  • Train and Evaluation Losses with scale-dependent, percentage and scale independent errors, and parametric likelihoods.
  • Automatic Model Selection with distributed automatic hyperparameter tuning.
  • Familiar sklearn syntax: .fit and .predict.

Highlights

  • Official NHITS implementation, published at AAAI 2023. See paper and experiments.
  • Official NBEATSx implementation, published at the International Journal of Forecasting. See paper.
  • Unified withStatsForecast, MLForecast, and HierarchicalForecast interface NeuralForecast().fit(Y_df).predict(), inputs and outputs.
  • Built-in integrations with utilsforecast and coreforecast for visualization and data-wrangling efficient methods.
  • Integrations with Ray and Optuna for automatic hyperparameter optimization.
  • Predict with little to no history using Transfer learning. Check the experiments here.

Missing something? Please open an issue or write us in Slack

Examples and Guides

The documentation page contains all the examples and tutorials.

📈 Automatic Hyperparameter Optimization: Easy and Scalable Automatic Hyperparameter Optimization with Auto models on Ray or Optuna.

🌡️ Exogenous Regressors: How to incorporate static or temporal exogenous covariates like weather or prices.

🔌 Transformer Models: Learn how to forecast with many state-of-the-art Transformers models.

👑 Hierarchical Forecasting: forecast series with very few non-zero observations.

👩‍🔬 Add Your Own Model: Learn how to add a new model to the library.

Models

Model Structure Sampling Point Forecast Probabilistic Forecast Exogenous features Auto Model
LSTM RNN recurrent
GRU RNN recurrent
RNN RNN recurrent
DilatedRNN RNN recurrent
DeepAR RNN recurrent
TCN CNN recurrent
TimesNet CNN windows
DLinear Linear windows
MLP MLP windows
NBEATS MLP windows
NBEATSx MLP windows
NHITS MLP windows
TFT Transformer windows
Transformer Transformer windows
Informer Transformer windows
Autoformer Transformer windows
FEDFormer Transformer windows
PatchTST Transformer windows
StemGNN GNN multivariate

Missing a model? Please open an issue or write us in Slack

How to contribute

If you wish to contribute to the project, please refer to our contribution guidelines.

References

This work is highly influenced by the fantastic work of previous contributors and other scholars on the neural forecasting methods presented here. We want to highlight the work of Boris Oreshkin, Slawek Smyl, Bryan Lim, and David Salinas. We refer to Benidis et al. for a comprehensive survey of neural forecasting methods.

Contributors ✨

Thanks goes to these wonderful people (emoji key):

fede
fede

💻 🚧
Cristian Challu
Cristian Challu

💻 🚧
José Morales
José Morales

💻 🚧
mergenthaler
mergenthaler

📖 💻
Kin
Kin

💻 🐛 🔣
Greg DeVos
Greg DeVos

🤔
Alejandro
Alejandro

💻
stefanialvs
stefanialvs

🎨
Ikko Ashimine
Ikko Ashimine

🐛
vglaucus
vglaucus

🐛
Pietro Monticone
Pietro Monticone

🐛

This project follows the all-contributors specification. Contributions of any kind welcome!

About

Scalable and user friendly neural 🧠 forecasting algorithms.

Resources

License

Stars

Watchers

Forks

Releases

No releases published

Packages

No packages published

Languages

  • Python 100.0%