DEA cost for Fischer-Tropsch, methanolisation

docs/release_notes.rst

@@ -26,6 +26,8 @@ Upcoming Release
 
 * Corrected CO2 content in biogas
 
+* Change to DEA costs for Fischer-Tropsch and methanolisation
+
 `v0.13.2 <https://github.com/PyPSA/technology-data/releases/tag/v0.13.2>`__ (13th June 2025)
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outputs/.~lock.costs_2040.csv#

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+,markus,markus-Virtual-Machine,09.10.2025 14:54,file:///home/markus/.config/libreoffice/4;

outputs/US/costs_2020.csv

@@ -3925,7 +3925,7 @@ electrobiofuels,VOM,4.957,EUR/MWh_th,combination of BtL and electrofuels,,2022.0
 electrobiofuels,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006,,,,
 electrobiofuels,efficiency-biomass,1.3183,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
 electrobiofuels,efficiency-hydrogen,1.0309,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
-electrobiofuels,efficiency-tot,0.6217,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
+electrobiofuels,efficiency-tot,0.5545,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
 electrobiofuels,investment,1155460.1124,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrofuels,,2022.0,,
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0,,
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.5773,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0,,
@@ -4079,12 +4079,12 @@ lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - versi
 lignite,fuel,3.2985,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t.",2010.0,,
 lignite,investment,3827.1629,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf .",2023.0,,
 lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . ",2023.0,,
-methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1",,2017.0,,
+methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion).,,,
 methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methanation,hydrogen-input,1.282,MWh_H2/MWh_CH4,,Based on ideal conversion process of stochiometric composition (1 t CH4 contains 750 kg of carbon).,,,
-methanation,investment,777.5294,EUR/kW_CH4,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), table 6: “Reference scenario”.",,2017.0,,
-methanation,lifetime,20.0,years,Guesstimate.,"Based on lifetime for methanolisation, Fischer-Tropsch plants.",2017.0,,
+methanation,investment,1058.2216,EUR/kWH2,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
+methanation,lifetime,25.0,years,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,FOM,1.9,%/year,"Guesstimate, based on hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor by DEA.",Based on assumptions for hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor (by DEA).,2014.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,investment,8961.5075,EUR/m^3,Storage costs per l: https://www.compositesworld.com/articles/pressure-vessels-for-alternative-fuels-2014-2023 (2021-02-10).,"Assume 5USD/l (= 4.23 EUR/l at 1.17 USD/EUR exchange rate) for type 1 pressure vessel for 200 bar storage and 100% surplus costs for including compressor costs with storage, based on similar assumptions by DEA for compressed hydrogen storage tanks.",2014.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,lifetime,30.0,years,"Guesstimate, based on hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor by DEA.",Based on assumptions for hydrogen storage tank 1 including compressor (by DEA).,2014.0,,
@@ -4102,14 +4102,14 @@ methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,electricity-input,1.3889,MWh_el/t_HVC,"DECHEMA 201
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,investment,2781006.4359,EUR/(t_HVC/h),"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf), Table 35",Assuming CAPEX of 1200 €/t actually given in €/(t/a).,2015.0,,
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,lifetime,30.0,years,Guesstimate,same as steam cracker,,,
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,methanol-input,18.03,MWh_MeOH/t_HVC,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf), Sections 4.5 (for ethylene and propylene) and 4.6 (for BTX)","Weighted average: 2.83 t_MeOH/t_ethylene+propylene for 21.7 Mt of ethylene and 17 Mt of propylene, 4.2 t_MeOH/t_BTX for 15.7 Mt of BTX. Assuming 5.54 MWh_MeOH/t_MeOH. ",,,
-methanolisation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.3.2.1.",,2017.0,,
+methanolisation,FOM,2.9032,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Fixed O&M,2020.0,,
 methanolisation,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006,,,,
 methanolisation,carbondioxide-input,0.248,t_CO2/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 66.",,,,
 methanolisation,electricity-input,0.271,MWh_e/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 65.",,,,
 methanolisation,heat-output,0.1,MWh_th/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 65.",steam generation of 2 GJ/t_MeOH,,,
 methanolisation,hydrogen-input,1.138,MWh_H2/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 64.",189 kg_H2 per t_MeOH,,,
-methanolisation,investment,819108.478,EUR/MW_MeOH,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), table 8: “Reference scenario”.","Well developed technology, no significant learning expected.",2017.0,,
-methanolisation,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, Technology Data for Renewable Fuels (04/2022), Data sheet “Methanol to Power”.",,2017.0,,
+methanolisation,investment,1345.9296,EUR/kW_MeOH,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Specific investment,2020.0,,
+methanolisation,lifetime,30.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Technical lifetime,2020.0,,
 micro CHP,FOM,6.6667,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Fixed O&M,2015.0,,
 micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Electric efficiency, annual average, net",2015.0,,
 micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.599,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Heat efficiency, annual average, net",2015.0,,

outputs/US/costs_2025.csv

@@ -4011,7 +4011,7 @@ electrobiofuels,VOM,4.5072,EUR/MWh_th,combination of BtL and electrofuels,,2022.
 electrobiofuels,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006,,,,
 electrobiofuels,efficiency-biomass,1.32,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
 electrobiofuels,efficiency-hydrogen,1.0469,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
-electrobiofuels,efficiency-tot,0.6272,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
+electrobiofuels,efficiency-tot,0.5721,per unit,Stoichiometric calculation,,,,
 electrobiofuels,investment,1137499.3937,EUR/kW_th,combination of BtL and electrofuels,,2022.0,,
 electrolysis,FOM,4.0,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Fixed O&M ,2020.0,,
 electrolysis,efficiency,0.5874,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",86 AEC 100 MW:  Hydrogen Output,2020.0,,
@@ -4165,12 +4165,12 @@ lignite,efficiency,0.33,p.u.,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - versi
 lignite,fuel,3.2985,EUR/MWh_th,"DIW (2013): Current and propsective costs of electricity generation until 2050, http://hdl.handle.net/10419/80348 , pg. 80 text below figure 10, accessed: 2023-12-14.","Based on IEA 2011 data, 10 USD/t.",2010.0,,
 lignite,investment,3827.1629,EUR/kW_e,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Higher costs include coal plants with CCS, but since using here for calculating the average nevertheless. Calculated based on average of listed range, i.e. (3200+6775) USD/kW_e/2 / (1.09 USD/EUR). Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf .",2023.0,,
 lignite,lifetime,40.0,years,"Lazard's levelized cost of energy analysis - version 16.0 (2023): https://www.lazard.com/media/typdgxmm/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf , pg. 49 (Levelized Cost of Energy - Key Assumptions), accessed: 2023-12-14.","Note: Assume same costs as for hard coal, as cost structure is apparently comparable, see https://diglib.tugraz.at/download.php?id=6093e88b63f93&location=browse and https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-a3ec-2e6fb0b5677d/Projected-Costs-of-Generating-Electricity-2020.pdf . ",2023.0,,
-methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.2.3.1",,2017.0,,
+methanation,FOM,3.0,%/year,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methanation,carbondioxide-input,0.198,t_CO2/MWh_CH4,"Götz et al. (2016): Renewable Power-to-Gas: A technological and economic review (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.07.066), Fig. 11 .",Additional H2 required for methanation process (2x H2 amount compared to stochiometric conversion).,,,
 methanation,efficiency,0.8,per unit,Palzer and Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methanation,hydrogen-input,1.282,MWh_H2/MWh_CH4,,Based on ideal conversion process of stochiometric composition (1 t CH4 contains 750 kg of carbon).,,,
-methanation,investment,728.6739,EUR/kW_CH4,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), table 6: “Reference scenario”.",,2017.0,,
-methanation,lifetime,20.0,years,Guesstimate.,"Based on lifetime for methanolisation, Fischer-Tropsch plants.",2017.0,,
+methanation,investment,1058.2216,EUR/kWH2,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
+methanation,lifetime,25.0,years,Schaber thesis, from old pypsa cost assumptions,2015.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,FOM,1.9,%/year,"Guesstimate, based on hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor by DEA.",Based on assumptions for hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor (by DEA).,2014.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,investment,8961.5075,EUR/m^3,Storage costs per l: https://www.compositesworld.com/articles/pressure-vessels-for-alternative-fuels-2014-2023 (2021-02-10).,"Assume 5USD/l (= 4.23 EUR/l at 1.17 USD/EUR exchange rate) for type 1 pressure vessel for 200 bar storage and 100% surplus costs for including compressor costs with storage, based on similar assumptions by DEA for compressed hydrogen storage tanks.",2014.0,,
 methane storage tank incl. compressor,lifetime,30.0,years,"Guesstimate, based on hydrogen storage tank type 1 including compressor by DEA.",Based on assumptions for hydrogen storage tank 1 including compressor (by DEA).,2014.0,,
@@ -4188,14 +4188,14 @@ methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,electricity-input,1.3889,MWh_el/t_HVC,"DECHEMA 201
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,investment,2781006.4359,EUR/(t_HVC/h),"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf), Table 35",Assuming CAPEX of 1200 €/t actually given in €/(t/a).,2015.0,,
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,lifetime,30.0,years,Guesstimate,same as steam cracker,,,
 methanol-to-olefins/aromatics,methanol-input,18.03,MWh_MeOH/t_HVC,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf), Sections 4.5 (for ethylene and propylene) and 4.6 (for BTX)","Weighted average: 2.83 t_MeOH/t_ethylene+propylene for 21.7 Mt of ethylene and 17 Mt of propylene, 4.2 t_MeOH/t_BTX for 15.7 Mt of BTX. Assuming 5.54 MWh_MeOH/t_MeOH. ",,,
-methanolisation,FOM,3.0,%/year,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), section 6.3.2.1.",,2017.0,,
+methanolisation,FOM,2.9032,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Fixed O&M,2020.0,,
 methanolisation,capture rate,0.9,per unit,Assumption based on doi:10.1016/j.biombioe.2015.01.006,,,,
 methanolisation,carbondioxide-input,0.248,t_CO2/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 66.",,,,
 methanolisation,electricity-input,0.271,MWh_e/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 65.",,,,
 methanolisation,heat-output,0.1,MWh_th/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 65.",steam generation of 2 GJ/t_MeOH,,,
 methanolisation,hydrogen-input,1.138,MWh_H2/MWh_MeOH,"DECHEMA 2017: DECHEMA: Low carbon energy and feedstock for the European chemical industry (https://dechema.de/dechema_media/Downloads/Positionspapiere/Technology_study_Low_carbon_energy_and_feedstock_for_the_European_chemical_industry.pdf) , pg. 64.",189 kg_H2 per t_MeOH,,,
-methanolisation,investment,761417.4621,EUR/MW_MeOH,"Agora Energiewende (2018): The Future Cost of Electricity-Based Synthetic Fuels (https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/publications/the-future-cost-of-electricity-based-synthetic-fuels-1/), table 8: “Reference scenario”.","Well developed technology, no significant learning expected.",2017.0,,
-methanolisation,lifetime,20.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, Technology Data for Renewable Fuels (04/2022), Data sheet “Methanol to Power”.",,2017.0,,
+methanolisation,investment,1345.9296,EUR/kW_MeOH,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Specific investment,2020.0,,
+methanolisation,lifetime,30.0,years,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/data_sheets_for_renewable_fuels.xlsx",98 Methanol from hydrogen:  Technical lifetime,2020.0,,
 micro CHP,FOM,6.4286,%/year,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx",219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Fixed O&M,2015.0,,
 micro CHP,efficiency,0.351,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Electric efficiency, annual average, net",2015.0,,
 micro CHP,efficiency-heat,0.604,per unit,"Danish Energy Agency, inputs/technologydatafor_heating_installations_marts_2018.xlsx","219 LT-PEMFC mCHP - natural gas:  Heat efficiency, annual average, net",2015.0,,