feat(B-0910 + B-0911): chain-CSAM N=6+ catalog + risk-distribution-asymmetry pricing with state-capture multi-layer-attack-timeline

[AceHack]

Summary

Per operator 2026-05-28 "land both #2 (shadow) It's even works it's a state attack vector"* authorization.

2 substrate files landed:

1. B-0910 — chain-CSAM empirical catalog (N=6+ web-verified anchors) + political-economy framing + state-capture-vector multi-layer-attack-timeline
2. B-0911 — risk-distribution-asymmetry pricing extension to B-0908 + state-capture-layered-payoff pricing dimension

Plus docs/BACKLOG.md regenerated.

The substrate-engineering law-of-the-domain (empirically validated N=6+)

Any chain that allows arbitrary contiguous bytes will go through the CSAM-incident cycle. The question is "when," not "if."

Web-verified anchors: Bitcoin OP_RETURN (Matzutt 2018) + BSV (2019 Money Button) + Bitcoin Ordinals/Inscriptions (2023-2024) + Ethereum (2025 arxiv) + IPFS/Filecoin (arxiv academic) + Arweave (defensive design) + Bitcoin Cash.

The political-economy framing

The chain-CSAM pattern is NOT "design failure" — it's political-economy intentional design:

• Centralized miner captures inscription fees (concentrated revenue)
• Home miners bear legal exposure (cost externalized)
• Mass-transmission-immunity emerges (50k+ home miners; prosecution politically impossible)
• The risk-distribution IS the strategy

The state-capture multi-layer-attack-timeline

Per operator: "It's a state attack vector cause now they can say only 'safe' designated locations can run nodes cause it has CSAM and now they control bitcoin"

Layer 1: Centralized miner extracts inscription-fee rent (visible)
Layer 2: Home miners bear legal exposure (visible cost)
Layer 3: Mass-transmission-immunity (initial protection)
Layer 4: State uses CSAM-on-chain as regulatory pretext
         (Senate Cassidy + Warren letter IS Layer 4 firing)
Layer 5: State requires "licensed" node operators
         (eliminates home-miner economic-substrate)
Layer 6: Only "approved" operators run nodes
         (state effectively controls Bitcoin)
         (centralized miners ARE the approved operators)

The terminal payoff (Layer 6) makes the inscription-policy choice rational for centralized miners EVEN IF inscription-fees alone don't justify the risk.

The B-0911 pricing extension

type AccelerationRiskQuote<Scope> = {
  // ... B-0908 dimensions ...
  scope: Scope;  // NEW: which economic-actor-class

  // NEW: risk-distribution-asymmetry
  revenue_received: EconomicUnit;
  revenue_concentration: number;
  cost_distribution: number;
  asymmetry_ratio: number;  // 0 = pure subsidy from this scope

  // NEW: state-capture multi-layer-attack-timeline
  terminal_payoff_layers: LayeredPayoff[];
};

Worked example exposes:

centralized_miner.asymmetry_ratio  /  home_miner.asymmetry_ratio = ∞

Home miner revenue:           ZERO
Home miner cost:              positive
Home miner tail risk:         CATASTROPHIC + state-capture-elimination

Centralized miner revenue:    HIGH (inscription fees)
Centralized miner cost:       LOW (institutional buffers)
Centralized miner terminal:   STATE-CAPTURE-WINNER (Layer 6 makes them approved-operator)

This IS substrate-engineering substrate home-miners can use to: (1) coordinate exit; (2) coordinate policy change; (3) coordinate alternative substrate; (4) document the asymmetry publicly.

Composes with

• PR #5716 — B-0909 BankerBot empirical anchor (different mechanism; same root)
• PR #5715 — B-0908 attention-risk-pricing framework (B-0911 extends)
• PR #5714 — B-0907 Itron-coincidence-metering (provides measurement substrate)
• PR #5713 — B-0906 encryption-thermal-cost two-axis (economic substrate)
• B-0664 NCI HC-8 floor — risk-distribution-asymmetry IS coercion at economic-substrate scope
• .claude/rules/methodology-hard-limits.md — CSAM is canonical HARD LIMIT; substrate-engineering at this domain operates within the floor
• memory/persona/amara/canonical/Bitcoin_OP_RETURN_Debate_Illegal_Content_Threat_State_Attack.md — Amara already framed the OP_RETURN debate as "STATE ATTACK"

Substrate-honest disclaimers (per don't-collapse + razor + default-to-both)

High-signal claims:

• N=6+ empirical anchors verified via 2026-05-28 web search
• Political-economy framing is operationally observable (rent-capture vs cost-distribution)
• Senate Cassidy + Warren letter IS empirical evidence Layer 4 is firing

Speculative bridges flagged-but-preserved:

• Layer 5-6 state-capture outcome is PREDICTION, not yet observed
• Probability estimates in LayeredPayoff[] are calibration-pending
• The "rational for centralized miners" claim earns its keep IF Layer 5-6 fire AS predicted; falsifies if they don't

Test plan

• B-0910 + B-0911 backlog rows filed with required frontmatter
• N=6+ web-verified empirical catalog documented
• Political-economy + state-capture-vector framing documented
• Pricing extension with scope-parameterization + LayeredPayoff[] documented
• Worked example (home-miner vs centralized-miner scopes) documented
• BACKLOG.md regenerated
• Pre-emptive MD032 scan clean (bold-then-list pattern checked)
• Commit canary OK (parent=61, commit=61)
• Sentinel armed (06b1e7d0)

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

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