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Expand Up @@ -277,9 +277,11 @@ Third class of empirical evidence: forced escalation at brief-ack #6 (and pre-em

**Composes with [`blocked-green-ci-investigate-threads.md`](blocked-green-ci-investigate-threads.md)**: the investigation discipline IS what produces the hidden-work surface. The counter forces invocation of that discipline on a regular cadence.

### Sustained-Lior-with-pre-empt-success — empirical anchor 2026-05-17T06:02Z-08:29Z (full session arc, 0 forced-#6, 2 PRs through)
### Sustained-named-dep-with-pre-empt-success — empirical anchor 2026-05-17T06:02Z-08:29Z (full session arc, 0 forced-#6, 2 PRs through)

Fourth class of empirical evidence: the counter discipline operating SUCCESSFULLY across a sustained ~2h 27min session where named-dep (Lior in `ps -A`) persisted at 3 procs throughout AND pre-empt-at-#5 produced concrete substrate every cycle, preventing ANY forced #6 escalation. Two PRs landed (#4046 + #4048) carrying 12 substrate artifacts total.
Fourth class of empirical evidence: the counter discipline operating SUCCESSFULLY across a sustained ~2h 27min autonomous-loop session where the primary named-dep (antigravity peer-agent loop visible in `ps -A` via the local process-match pattern documented in the canary rule referenced below) persisted at 3 procs throughout AND pre-empt-at-#5 produced concrete substrate every cycle, preventing ANY forced #6 escalation. The local process-match pattern lives in [`codeql-no-source-on-docs-only-pr-is-broken-commit-canary.md`](codeql-no-source-on-docs-only-pr-is-broken-commit-canary.md) and is not duplicated here to keep this rule's surface generic.

Two PRs landed (#4046 + #4048) carrying **12 PR-content changes total** (in PR #4046: 10 new substrate files + 1 BACKLOG.md regeneration; in PR #4048: 1 new worked-example memo). Of the 10 new files in PR #4046, 7 were authored during the 10 pre-empt-at-#5 cycles (cycles 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8 — the cycle-4 row-update merged into the cycle-2 file's diff so does not surface as a separate file); the other 3 (the 0418Z carry-over shard from a prior session + the 0602Z substantive-tick shard + the alexa-website substantive-tick memo) were authored outside the pre-empt cadence. Cycle 9 produced a bus envelope (broadcast substrate, not in-repo); cycle 10 produced a PR body file (preparation artifact, not committed). The PR #4048 worked-example memo was authored after the pre-empt cadence closed.

Session timeline:

Expand All @@ -288,40 +290,40 @@ Session timeline:
| 06:02Z | 1 substantive | 0602Z shard + PR #4015 3-thread verification + A/B/C commit plan |
| 06:07Z | 1 substantive | Bus envelope `da3cd5d2` (work-assignment for B-0510) |
| 06:11Z-06:15Z | 4 brief-acks | Refresh observations only |
| 06:16Z | pre-empt #5 | canary-rule-binding memory file |
| 06:16Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 1) | canary-rule-binding memory file |
| 06:18Z-06:21Z | 4 brief-acks | Refresh observations only |
| 06:23Z | pre-empt #5 | B-0611 backlog row filed (35 dangling refs cleanup) |
| 06:23Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 2) | B-0611 backlog row filed (35 dangling refs cleanup) |
| 06:30Z-06:34Z | 4 brief-acks | Refresh observations only |
| 06:37Z | pre-empt #5 | Slice 1 recipe memo |
| 06:37Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 3) | Slice 1 recipe memo |
| 06:39Z-06:43Z | 4 brief-acks | Refresh observations only |
| 06:44Z | pre-empt #5 | B-0611 row update — audit-tool semi-automation bullet |
| 06:44Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 4) | B-0611 row update — audit-tool semi-automation bullet |
| 06:45Z-06:48Z | 4 brief-acks | Refresh observations only |
| 06:49Z | pre-empt #5 | Slice 2 recipe memo (Option E pattern discovered) |
| 06:49Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 5) | Slice 2 recipe memo (Option E pattern discovered) |
| 06:51Z-06:58Z | 4 brief-acks + tier shift | GraphQL exhausted → Pure-git tier briefly |
| 06:59Z | pre-empt #5 | Slice 3 recipe memo (mixed-types observation) |
| 07:23Z | pre-empt #5 | Slice 4 recipe memo (audit-prep complete) |
| 07:28Z | pre-empt #5 | 0728Z session-summary shard |
| 07:32Z | substantive | **PR #4015 merged** (bus envelope `da3cd5d2` validated end-to-end via peer-Otto execution chain — 78min handoff latency) |
| 07:37Z | pre-empt #5 | Bus envelope `ac6d2aec` (B-0611 cleanup advertisement) |
| 07:39Z | maintainer-speaks | Aaron: *"commit the deferred substrate"* |
| 06:59Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 6) | Slice 3 recipe memo (mixed-types observation) |
| 07:23Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 7) | Slice 4 recipe memo (audit-prep complete) |
| 07:28Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 8) | 0728Z session-summary shard |
| 07:32Z | substantive | **PR #4015 merged** (bus envelope `da3cd5d2` validated end-to-end via peer autonomous-loop execution chain — 78min handoff latency) |
| 07:37Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 9) | Bus envelope `ac6d2aec` (B-0611 cleanup advertisement) |
| 07:39Z | maintainer-speaks | Human maintainer authorized commit of deferred substrate |
| 07:40Z | substantive | Isolated-worktree workflow → commit `432d49b` (11 files; new race-window-caveat rule followed) |
| 07:55Z | pre-empt #5 | PR body file prepared |
| 07:55Z | pre-empt #5 (cycle 10) | PR body file prepared |
| 08:00Z | substantive | **PR #4046 opened + auto-armed** |
| 08:02Z | substantive | 4 lint-fix commit pushed |
| 08:11Z | substantive | **PR #4046 merged** → `de9693b` on main |
| 08:18Z | substantive | PR #4048 opened (worked-example memo follow-up) |
| 08:25Z | substantive | 3-thread fix commit + threads resolved |
| 08:29Z | substantive | **PR #4048 merged** → `a1d0ec3` on main |

**Pattern observed**: ~35 brief-ack ticks distributed across 8 pre-empt-at-#5 cycles (each cycle: #1-#4 brief-acks → #5 concrete substrate → counter resets). Never reached forced #6. Each pre-empt artifact was load-bearing AND bounded AND not duplicative — 4 slice recipes (one per surface), 1 canary-binding memo, 1 backlog row, 2 bus envelopes, 1 session-summary shard, 1 worked-example memo.
**Pattern observed**: ~35 brief-ack ticks distributed across **10 pre-empt-at-#5 cycles** (each cycle: #1-#4 brief-acks → #5 concrete substrate → counter resets). Never reached forced #6. Each pre-empt artifact was load-bearing AND bounded AND not duplicative; the 10 cycles produced 10 unique substantive artifacts (counting the cycle-4 row update as a distinct edit to the cycle-2 backlog row).

**Substrate-coordination empirical anchor**: bus envelope `da3cd5d2` (work-assignment for B-0510) was operationally validated when peer-Otto landed commit `bcee230d` at 07:28Z with title literally matching the published A/B/C plan; auto-merge then fired at 07:32Z. The bus-envelope-as-cross-Otto-coordination path empirically works for bounded substrate work with verified-truthy findings on a live PR. (Second bus envelope `ac6d2aec` for B-0611 cleanup was still alive at session-close, not yet picked up — suggests bus envelopes work better for "execute this specific plan against this specific PR" than for "author new substrate from a 4-slice menu.")
**Substrate-coordination empirical anchor**: bus envelope `da3cd5d2` (work-assignment for B-0510) was operationally validated when a peer autonomous-loop instance landed commit `bcee230d` at 07:28Z with title literally matching the published A/B/C plan; auto-merge then fired at 07:32Z. The bus-envelope-as-cross-instance-coordination path empirically works for bounded substrate work with verified-truthy findings on a live PR. (Second bus envelope `ac6d2aec` for B-0611 cleanup was still alive at session-close, not yet picked up — suggests bus envelopes work better for "execute this specific plan against this specific PR" than for "author new substrate from a 4-slice menu.")

**Composes with [`refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md`](refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md)**: the session traversed Normal → Cost-aware → Pure-git → back to Normal tiers; brief-ack cadence operated correctly across all tiers (bus envelope publish + filesystem substrate writes worked under pure-git).

**Composes with [`zeta-expected-branch.md`](zeta-expected-branch.md)**: the new race-window-caveat section (landed mid-session) was followed for both commits via isolated worktree at `/private/tmp/zeta-b0611-substrate-0740z` and `/private/tmp/zeta-worked-example-0817z`. ls-tree count 53 post-commit on both PRs confirmed no canary corruption per [`codeql-no-source-on-docs-only-pr-is-broken-commit-canary.md`](codeql-no-source-on-docs-only-pr-is-broken-commit-canary.md).

**Operational lesson**: when named-dep is process-persistence (Lior, peer-Otto saturation) AND deferral spans 2+ hours, the pre-empt-at-#5 cadence is the substrate-honest alternative to forced-#6. The discipline does NOT require forced-#6 in every cycle to be operating correctly; pre-empts that produce genuinely-new load-bearing substrate ARE the discipline's success path. Forced-#6 is the FAILSAFE for when pre-empt-at-#5 is skipped, not the only valid termination.
**Operational lesson**: when the named-dep is process-persistence (peer-agent loops, multi-instance saturation) AND deferral spans 2+ hours, the pre-empt-at-#5 cadence is the substrate-honest alternative to forced-#6. The discipline does NOT require forced-#6 in every cycle to be operating correctly; pre-empts that produce genuinely-new load-bearing substrate ARE the discipline's success path. Forced-#6 is the FAILSAFE for when pre-empt-at-#5 is skipped, not the only valid termination.

## Composes with

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