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Round 44 auto-loop-19: BACKLOG P2 row — compoundings-per-tick audit #117

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AceHack merged 1 commit into from
Apr 22, 2026
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Round 44 auto-loop-19: BACKLOG P2 row — compoundings-per-tick audit #117

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42 changes: 42 additions & 0 deletions docs/BACKLOG.md
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Expand Up @@ -3923,6 +3923,48 @@ systems. This track claims the space.

## P2 — research-grade

- [ ] **Compoundings-per-tick audit — tick-close self-
diagnostic with confidence-axis failure-mode taxonomy.**
Recurrence threshold met auto-loop-16/17/18 (2026-04-22):
tick-history rows started narrating "compoundings this
tick" as free prose (six compoundings auto-loop-18, etc.)
without a named audit. Per the frontier-confidence memory
(`memory/feedback_frontier_confidence_load_bearing_terrain_map_moat_build_hand_hold_withdrawn_2026_04_22.md`),
zero compoundings this tick has two distinct diagnoses
with different fixes: (a) **livelock** — no compounding
attempted; narrative-without-advancement; substrate-
Comment on lines +3931 to +3935
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Copilot AI Apr 22, 2026

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P1: The referenced memory file memory/feedback_frontier_confidence_load_bearing_terrain_map_moat_build_hand_hold_withdrawn_2026_04_22.md does not exist in the repository, so this is a broken xref. Either add the memory file under memory/ (if intended) or update the reference to the correct existing memory filename/path.

Suggested change
without a named audit. Per the frontier-confidence memory
(`memory/feedback_frontier_confidence_load_bearing_terrain_map_moat_build_hand_hold_withdrawn_2026_04_22.md`),
zero compoundings this tick has two distinct diagnoses
with different fixes: (a) **livelock** — no compounding
attempted; narrative-without-advancement; substrate-
without a named audit. Per the withdrawn frontier-
confidence note from 2026-04-22, zero compoundings this
tick has two distinct diagnoses with different fixes:
(a) **livelock** — no compounding attempted; narrative-
without-advancement; substrate-

Copilot uses AI. Check for mistakes.
missing-layer; fix = generative factory improvement to
add the missing layer; (b) **low-confidence** —
compounding-attempted-but-not-trusted-enough-to-land;
substrate-present-but-not-applied; fix = confidence-
restoration via substrate-re-read, not new-substrate-
creation. Codification path: add a step 6 (or extend step
3) in `docs/AUTONOMOUS-LOOP.md` "tick-close" section
naming the audit — count new-substrate-items-this-tick
that use-prior-substrate, classify zero-cases into
livelock vs low-confidence before the visibility signal
fires. Tick-history row schema already carries the
narrative; the audit makes it explicit and makes zero-
count ticks legible rather than silent. Related:
auto-loop-16 livelock-as-factory-discipline memory
(narrative-without-advancement = livelock) gives the
first failure-mode; auto-loop-18 frontier-confidence
gives the second; ARC3-DORA memory-accumulation
component gives the *positive* framing (compoundings
*are* the moat). **Open questions, flagged to maintainer,
not self-resolved:** (i) does the audit belong in
`docs/AUTONOMOUS-LOOP.md` step-6 or as a standalone
`docs/research/compoundings-per-tick-audit.md` research
note? (ii) should tick-history rows carry an explicit
`compoundings: N` field in a structured header, or stay
narrative? (iii) what's the right threshold for
"flagged low" — one? zero? two below recent-average?
(iv) should the audit run per-tick or per-round (tick-
history aggregation)? Owner: Architect + maintainer.
Effort: S (AUTONOMOUS-LOOP.md edit + one-tick smoke
test); M if tick-history row schema changes and the
round-44 history needs back-annotation.

- [ ] **Architect role — Kenji makes 3 big decisions
(scope TBD).** Aaron 2026-04-22 directive after the
freedom-self-report tick: *"backlok Kenji makes 3 big
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