Overview of of various Prediciton Markets along with selected reading, threads, and various code repositories
- Polymarket
- Polygon, USDC
- Manifold
- Offchain and no real money
- Kalshi
- CFTC Regulated so via bank
- Metaculus
- Predictit
- Insight Predictions
- Hedgehog
- on solana, has a nice mobile app
- Aver
- Pascal
- Solana, USDC (but devnet)
- Futuur
- Infer
- smarkets
- Pulse Markets
- On near uses flux protocol for oracles
- Polkamarkets
- on polkadot
- Omen
- no longer active but here is an ipfs link
- Prediction Market FAQ
- Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets
- Play Money and Reputation Systems
- The Passage Of Polymarket
- ACX Grant Results
- Mantic Monday: Dogs in Wizard hats
- Market Mechanics
- Borrow away!
- Invasion Edition
- Above the Fold
- The Making of a Top Forecaster
- Amplyifing Research via Forecaster Part 1 and Part 2
- Incentive problems with forecasting
- Maximum Truth: Betting on the Elections
- BaseRateTimes - News through the lens of various prediction markets
- MetaForecast - Aggregator
- loki.red Polymarket Stats
- Good Judgement