diff --git a/python/sglang/srt/managers/schedule_batch.py b/python/sglang/srt/managers/schedule_batch.py
index 0c178204a835..aa345da63f60 100644
--- a/python/sglang/srt/managers/schedule_batch.py
+++ b/python/sglang/srt/managers/schedule_batch.py
@@ -1873,6 +1873,9 @@ def new_tokens_required_next_decode(
             new_pages = sum(1 for r in requests if r.kv_committed_len % page_size == 0)
             return new_pages * page_size
 
+        if self.is_spec_v2:
+            return self._new_tokens_required_next_decode_spec_v2(requests, page_size)
+
         server_args = get_global_server_args()
         len_per_topk = server_args.speculative_num_steps or 1
         spec_topk = server_args.speculative_eagle_topk or 1
@@ -1888,9 +1891,20 @@ def new_tokens_required_next_decode(
             spec_tokens = ceil_align(spec_tokens, page_size)
 
         num_tokens = max(len_per_topk * spec_topk, spec_tokens) * len(requests)
-
-        # v2 eagle has over-allocation
-        return num_tokens * (1 + self.is_spec_v2)
+        return num_tokens
+
+    def _new_tokens_required_next_decode_spec_v2(self, requests, page_size):
+        """Tight estimate matching eagle_info_v2.prepare_for_decode allocation."""
+        from sglang.srt.managers.utils import get_alloc_len_per_decode
+
+        alloc_len = get_alloc_len_per_decode()
+        total = 0
+        for r in requests:
+            x = max(0, r.kv_committed_len + 2 * alloc_len - r.kv_allocated_len)
+            cur = r.kv_allocated_len
+            nxt = cur + x
+            total += ceil_align(nxt, page_size) - ceil_align(cur, page_size)
+        return total
 
     def check_decode_mem(self, selected_indices: Optional[List[int]] = None):
         num_tokens = self.new_tokens_required_next_decode(selected_indices)
diff --git a/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/hisparse_memory_pool.py b/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/hisparse_memory_pool.py
index 5af8d257ad6b..76c2284eb8f3 100644
--- a/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/hisparse_memory_pool.py
+++ b/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/hisparse_memory_pool.py
@@ -12,6 +12,7 @@
 )
 from sglang.srt.mem_cache.memory_pool import NSATokenToKVPool
 from sglang.srt.utils import is_cuda, is_hip
+from sglang.srt.utils.common import get_num_new_pages
 
 # sgl_kernel.kvcacheio is only available in CUDA/ROCm sgl-kernel builds (not XPU/MPS/NPU/CPU).
 _is_cuda = is_cuda()
@@ -246,9 +247,19 @@ def alloc_extend(
         extend_num_tokens: int,
     ):
         assert self.page_size > 1
-        num_tokens = extend_num_tokens + len(seq_lens) * self.page_size
 
-        if num_tokens > self.available_size():
+        num_new_pages = get_num_new_pages(
+            seq_lens=seq_lens_cpu, page_size=self.page_size, prefix_lens=prefix_lens_cpu
+        )
+        if (
+            num_new_pages
+            > self.logical_attn_allocator.available_size() // self.page_size
+        ):
+            return None
+        if (
+            num_new_pages
+            > self.hisparse_attn_allocator.available_size() // self.page_size
+        ):
             return None
 
         logical_indices = self.logical_attn_allocator.alloc_extend(
diff --git a/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/swa_memory_pool.py b/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/swa_memory_pool.py
index 96b0e3844914..e89b501edc66 100644
--- a/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/swa_memory_pool.py
+++ b/python/sglang/srt/mem_cache/swa_memory_pool.py
@@ -13,6 +13,7 @@
 from sglang.srt.mem_cache.memory_pool import KVCache, MHATokenToKVPool
 from sglang.srt.mem_cache.utils import maybe_init_custom_mem_pool
 from sglang.srt.utils import is_npu
+from sglang.srt.utils.common import get_num_new_pages
 
 _is_npu = is_npu()
 
@@ -377,10 +378,13 @@ def alloc_extend(
         extend_num_tokens: int,
     ):
         assert self.page_size > 1
-        num_tokens = extend_num_tokens + len(seq_lens) * self.page_size
-        if num_tokens > self.full_attn_allocator.available_size():
+
+        num_new_pages = get_num_new_pages(
+            seq_lens=seq_lens_cpu, page_size=self.page_size, prefix_lens=prefix_lens_cpu
+        )
+        if num_new_pages > self.full_attn_allocator.available_size() // self.page_size:
             return None
-        if num_tokens > self.swa_attn_allocator.available_size():
+        if num_new_pages > self.swa_attn_allocator.available_size() // self.page_size:
             return None
 
         swa_last_loc = self.translate_loc_from_full_to_swa(last_loc)