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Noise Extraction Algorithm

Inspired by Kahneman, Sunstein and Sibony's book Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgement, this algorithm extracts the amount of noise within a given set of decisions.

This set of decisions should be the result of a Noise Audit: a process that helps organisations measure their level of noise. To perform a noise audit, little experiments are designed to give the same judgement decision to different decision makers. The results are the input of this algorithm which is provided in both R and Python.

Input

A n x m matrix with n decision makers who have recorded their decisions for m separate cases

Output

System Noise, which is the overall variability within system of judgments. This is then decomposed into:

  • Level Noise: The variability of an individual’s average judgement ie. is a person harsher or more lenient on average?
  • Pattern Noise: Variations due to individuals’ specific responses to cases/people ie.a generally harsh judge being unusually lenient with older defendants who shoplift.

You can find out more about the mathematical theory behind this algorithm in this article