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| 1 | +--- |
| 2 | +publishDate: 2025-10-07T00:00:00Z |
| 3 | +author: Bryn Noel Ubald |
| 4 | +title: Operational IceNet Forecasts Now Publicly Accessible! |
| 5 | +excerpt: IceNet forecasts are now available on the PDC's RAMADDA platform. |
| 6 | +image: https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1598439210625-5067c578f3f6?q=80&w=2072&auto=format&fit=crop&ixlib=rb-4.1.0&ixid=M3wxMjA3fDB8MHxwaG90by1wYWdlfHx8fGVufDB8fHx8fA%3D%3D |
| 7 | +category: Article |
| 8 | +tags: |
| 9 | + - news |
| 10 | +metadata: |
| 11 | + canonical: https://astrowind.vercel.app/astrowind-template-in-depth |
| 12 | +--- |
| 13 | + |
| 14 | +import DListItem from '~/components/ui/DListItem.astro'; |
| 15 | +import ToggleTheme from '~/components/common/ToggleTheme.astro'; |
| 16 | + |
| 17 | +We are thrilled to announce that the Polar Data Centre's [RAMADDA data repository](https://ramadda.data.bas.ac.uk/repository/a/icenet-daily-sea-ice-forecasts) is now home to daily IceNet forecasts! This platform now enables a wide range of end-users to access these forecasts. With automated inclusion of latest forecasts as they are generated on a daily basis. |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +Use-cases could involve: |
| 20 | + |
| 21 | +- Empowering researchers/students in research |
| 22 | +- Informing policymakers |
| 23 | +- Navigation of ships in polar regions |
| 24 | +- Environmental monitoring |
| 25 | + |
| 26 | +**Please note that IceNet forecasts are highly experimental and is a research codebase** |
| 27 | + |
| 28 | +<a href="https://ramadda.data.bas.ac.uk/repository/a/icenet-daily-sea-ice-forecasts" target="_blank">Explore IceNet on RAMADDA</a> |
| 29 | + |
| 30 | +### Why This Matters |
| 31 | +Sea ice plays a critical role in global climate systems, influencing ocean currents, wildlife habitats, and human activities like shipping. IceNet forecasts can enable users to visualise and analyse daily forecasts of sea-ice. |
| 32 | + |
| 33 | +### Join Us in Exploring the Polar Regions |
| 34 | +Whether you're a scientist, student, or simply curious about Earth's changing environment, we invite you to dive into IceNet forecasts via RAMADDA. |
| 35 | + |
| 36 | + |
| 37 | +## Model definition |
| 38 | + |
| 39 | +The current release of the forecasts contain daily sea ice forecasts across the northern and southern hemispheres (via two separate models) derived from OSI-SAF 25km<sup>2</sup> grid used as ground truth. They are labelled as `exp23_north` and `exp23_south`, and forecast up to 93 days ahead, with a roughly 5-7 day delay depending on ERA5 data release cycle. |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +These models were trained using [icenet v0.2.4_dev](https://pypi.org/project/icenet/0.2.4/) on the British Antarctic Survey's internal HPC (BAS HPC) with the following input variables: |
| 42 | + |
| 43 | +* ERA5 |
| 44 | + * psl |
| 45 | + * ta500 |
| 46 | + * tas |
| 47 | + * tos |
| 48 | + * uas |
| 49 | + * vas |
| 50 | + * zg250 |
| 51 | + * zg500 |
| 52 | +* OSI-SAF |
| 53 | + * siconca (also, the target variable) |
| 54 | + |
| 55 | +### Train splits |
| 56 | +The date ranges used for training are as follows: |
| 57 | +* 1994-01-01 to 1995-12-31 |
| 58 | +* 2006-01-01 to 2008-12-31 |
| 59 | +* 2011-01-01 to 2013-12-31 |
| 60 | + |
| 61 | +### Validation splits |
| 62 | +The date ranges used for validation are as follows: |
| 63 | +* 2009-07-01 to 2010-06-30 |
| 64 | + |
| 65 | +### Prediction |
| 66 | + |
| 67 | +The predictions are generated using [icenet v0.2.9](https://pypi.org/project/icenet/0.2.9/), also on BAS HPC. |
| 68 | + |
| 69 | +### License |
| 70 | + |
| 71 | +Unless otherwise stated, all content is owned by British Antarctic Survey and The Alan Turing Institute 2025, and made available via the [Open Government License](https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/) which is compatible with the [CC-BY-4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
| 72 | + |
| 73 | +## Future |
| 74 | + |
| 75 | +In the future, RAMADDA will also host IceNet forecasts from different models: |
| 76 | +- AMSR2 sea-ice based predictions. |
| 77 | +- Monthly predictions, up to 6 months ahead. |
| 78 | +- Fine-tuned models combining OSI-SAF and AMSR2 training. |
| 79 | + |
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