diff --git a/misc/rickiopedia.html b/misc/rickiopedia.html new file mode 100644 index 00000000..63d0843a --- /dev/null +++ b/misc/rickiopedia.html @@ -0,0 +1,17664 @@ + + +
+ + + + + +The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/123
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/174
They don't seem to have actually crowned a winner, as Stephen and Myke tied and they just left it at that. The next predictions were done “round robin”.
+
Winner | Tie - Myke and Stephen |
---|
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0.5 |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/175
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/224
As far as I know, there was no tiebreaker for second place, but Stephen went second in the next annual predictions.
+
Winner | Federico |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/208
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/209
This starts out as "no prizes" for these predictions, just saying stuff and seeing what happens.
But after the event, when some are right and some are wrong, there is suddenly a lot more temptation to start grading and ranking.
As this wasn't expected to be strictly graded at first, there is some contention about how to grade the results. Federico advocates for weighing based on importance. Stephen argues for percentages. It is widely agreed that Myke has lost. Myke insists that as the loser, he picks the winner, and picks Stephen. Federico deems this a conspiracy. After some bickering, Myke declares that the scores are as above, and the issue is settled.
+
Winner | Stephen |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/225
Mid-year check in: https://www.relay.fm/connected/243
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/275
Myke wins the coin flip for second place, ending the Year of Stephen on a sour note.
+
Winner | Federico |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/259
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/260
+
Winner | Stephen |
---|
Myke was heads and Stephen was tails. The full results were heads, tails, heads.
+
Winner | Myke |
---|---|
Loser | Stephen |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/235
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/236
The pick order was chosen randomly, but the results would go on to set the order for WWDC predictions, as announced in episode 234: a "qualifying round" using the rules of the annual predictions. That makes this the first of what we now call the Keynote Rickies.
Stephen and Myke are tied, what to do? Federico wants to decide based on how risky he thinks their picks are, and that Myke should get the win. Myke would rather flip a coin.
Stephen proposes best of 3, Myke is heads. The results are heads, tails, heads.
These were non-graded picks for bragging rights, and indeed weren't ever graded officially.
+
Winner | Myke |
---|
All 3 chose heads or tails, and both Myke and Federico were wrong, leaving Stephen alone in first.
+
Winner | Stephen |
---|---|
Loser | Myke and Federico |
+
Winner | Myke |
---|---|
Loser | Federico |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/245
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/246 (live!)
In episode 245, Stephen mentions accidentally sending "Ricky" instead of "risky" in an iMessage, which ends up being a major shift in branding for the Connected predictions game.
It's a 3 way tie! How do you flip a coin between 3 people? A knockout tournament, where you "keep flipping until there's one man standing", apparently.
The rules are more clearly explained: each host will guess heads or tails, and then the coin will be flipped. Wrong answers are knocked out, unless all of them are wrong. Jason Snell comes on stage to handle things. He can't flip a coin, so he'll ask Siri.
For flip number 1, Myke and Federico pick heads, Stephen picks tails. The result is tails, knocking out Myke and Federico and giving Stephen the win.
Flip number 2 decides second place, with Federico taking heads. However, it is tails, putting Myke in second and Federico last.
The ungraded picks have mild stakes added: the loser must buy a round of drinks.
Stephen owes drinks to the other two.
+
Winner | Stephen |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/275
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/327
Stephen coins "The Flexies" in the 2020 prediction episode.
In the year between making the picks and grading them, the Flexies became a game of their own with money on the line, but the new Flexy rules were not applied retroactively to this year's Flexy picks. "That would just be silly" and "We're not savages", after all. As a result, these Flexies are just two rounds of predictions for bragging rights.
+
Winner | Myke |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/319
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/320
Federico donates $75 to Stephen's wife's 5K for Eden's Run. +
+
Winner | Stephen |
---|---|
Donator | Federico |
Donation | $75 |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/315
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/316
Federico donates $100 to the Forrest Spence Fund, after some international transaction issues.
+
Winner | Federico |
---|---|
Donator | Federico |
Donation | $100 |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/311
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/312
Myke wins the coin flip for second place, again.
The rule about ties and ratios comes into play, dropping Stephen into last place.
This is the first Flexies with donations to charity. As such, Stephen donates $100 to Fur Kids. +
+
Winner | Federico |
---|---|
Donator | Stephen |
Donation | $100 |
Jason Snell flips a Relay.FM challenge coin, and it lands on "little R".
+
Winner | Myke |
---|---|
Loser | Stephen |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/299
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/300
Myke wins the coin flip against Stephen for the win.
Federico loses due to the "ratio" tiebreaker, which is created in the moment, and thus owes drinks. But from the next Rickies on, the Flexies will include a substantial donation to charity from the loser. +
+
Winner | Myke |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/327
The results: TBD
+
Winner | TBD |
---|
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/341
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/342
Myke wins the coin flip for second place.
Myke again wins the coin flip. Stephen donates $125 to the Red Cross.
+
Winner | Federico |
---|---|
Donator | Stephen |
Donation | $125 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
This exercise in nerdery about nerdery was put together by me, Jason Biatek (pronounced "bee-attic").
Corrections and additional information are more than welcome. Open an issue on GitHub preferably, or you can also email me at [my first name] at [my last name] dot net. The interface of this page may look editable in some places, but those changes won’t be saved, they’re just in your browser.
This page is built with TiddlyWiki, which is a nifty single page wiki tool with lots of options for taking little bits of information and composing them together in different ways. When I realized that, my mind jumped to the many, many little bits of information in The Rickies, and I just had to try it out.
Rickipedia is licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0
+
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.5 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.5 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.5 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 7 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 7 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.4 |
Score | 1 |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/199
Check in: https://www.relay.fm/connected/208
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/268
Myke proposes an audio predictions game, to be graded at the end of 2019.
+
Winner | Myke |
---|
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 8 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.5 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | -1 |
+
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 9 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 5 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 0.5 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 3.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 4 |
Score | 0.75 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 0.5 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | 0 |
Name | Winner |
---|---|
+2017 Annual Predictions + | +Tie - Myke and Stephen | +
+2018 Annual Predictions + | +Federico | +
+2019 Annual Predictions + | +Federico | +
+2020 Annual Rickies + | +Myke | +
+2021 Annual Rickies + | +TBD | +
Name | Winner |
---|---|
+2019 Media Event Predictions + | +Myke | +
+2019 WWDC Predictions + | +Stephen | +
+2019 Fall Rickies + | +Stephen | +
+2020 Summer Rickies + | +Myke | +
+2020 September Rickies + | +Federico | +
+2020 October Rickies + | +Federico | +
+2020 November Rickies + | +Stephen | +
+2021 April Rickies + | +Federico | +
Name | Winner |
---|---|
+Audio Predictions + | +Myke | +
+The AirPower Game + | +Nobody | +
+2018 iPhone Event Predictions + | +Stephen | +
(includes -1 for incorrect Risky Picks)
(This only includes Flexy picks made after they started to require a donation to charity from the loser.)
(This only includes "non-graded" or "Flexy" picks made when they were purely for bragging rights or buying a round of drinks.)
Description | Winner | Loser |
---|---|---|
+2019 coin flip for second place + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+2019 Media Event best of 3 coin flip for first place + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+2019 WWDC "knockout" flip for first place + | +Stephen | +Myke and Federico | +
+2019 WWDC flip for second place + | +Myke | +Federico | +
+2020 Summer coin flip for the win + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+2020 September coin flip for second place + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+2021 April coin flip for second place in the Flexies + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+2021 April coin flip for second place in the Rickies + | +Myke | +Stephen | +
+
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.6 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 6 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0.5 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 3.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | 0 |
The predictions: https://www.relay.fm/connected/206
The results: https://www.relay.fm/connected/209
Myke wants to know: when is AirPower going to come out? Before the 2018 iPhone event, during, or after? (The idea that it wouldn't come out at all apparently never occurred to him.) Federico wants to play for prizes, not just bragging rights, so Myke promises to come up with a prize. I don’t think that ever happens.
As it turns out, it didn't come out at all. At the beginning of 2019, Federico still held out 80% hope that AirPower still would come out... eventually. +
+
Winner | Nobody |
---|
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0 |
Last amended January 13, 2021.
There are two types of Rickies: Annual Rickies and Keynote Rickies. The winner of the Annual Rickies is named the Annual Chairman, and retains the rights to the corresponding Twitter account for the full year. This position is awarded every January. The Keynote Rickies winner is named the Keynote Chairman, and retains the rights to the corresponding Twitter account until the next keynote is held.
Annual winners roll over to preserve the order of picks, for example the 2019 annual winner gets to go first for the next annual picks. Order for the Keynote Rickies is based on the previous Apple event. The Loser goes last.
To earn any points, everything written down in the prediction document must come true. No half points may be awarded in any round, and picks cannot be reused. One point is awarded for any pick deemed correct in the first two rounds. Two points will be awarded for correct picks in the Risky Pick round. If your Risky Pick is wrong, you lose a point. The two other hosts must agree that your pick is "risky".
For Keynote Rickies, the scoring window starts when the event begins and closes when the picks are scored. The winner of the regular and Risky picks must be granted access to the Annual or Event Chairman Twitter account, and will retain access until another winner is named.
The loser of the Flexies must compensate the winner of the Flexies by donating to the charity of the winner's choice. The amount of the donation is $25 per wrong Flexy made by the loser. In the case of a tie, the ratio of correct to incorrect Flexies will be taken into account[1]. Each host must make a minimum of 5 Flexy Picks. Flexies may be reused as future Flexies or regular picks. The money, of course, must be donated on air.
[1]: I find this wording a little unclear, but there is enough precedence to explain it differently. The winner of the Flexies is the one with the most correct Flexy picks. If there is a tie, then the next tie breaker is the one with the fewest incorrect Flexy picks. The grading in episode 300, where this rule is established, is probably also the clearest application of it, with Myke's 1 out of 4 beating Federico's 1 out of 7. As stated in that clip, making more Flexy picks gives more chances to be right, making it easier to win based on sheer number of correct picks, but has the risk of a worse ratio in case of a tie (and, now that money is involved, a risk of much more money being owed in case of an outright loss).
In subsequent episodes, our beloved hosts sometimes have trouble remembering the details, and sometimes seem to instead be grading the Flexies entirely based on ratio, which is incorrect, but the results are the same when everyone picks 5-6 Flexies as they have so far.
No host has attempted something like this yet, but this could lead to a contentious scenario if a host attempts a high-risk "shotgun" strategy. A host getting 7 out of 20 will likely have to argue for his victory against another host who got none wrong but only made 6 picks. But based on the precedent set when the rule was written, and the letter of the text in the current rules, that’s the correct outcome. +
+
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 3 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 3.6 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 3.6 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 4 |
Score | 0 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 2.1 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1.2 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.3 |
Score | 1 |
+
Host | Myke |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | -1 |
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1.1 |
Score | 0 |
This is Rickipedia, a comprehensive repository of information about the ever-evolving Apple prediction game played on Connected by hosts Stephen Hackett, Myke Hurley, and Federico Viticci.
“Better than, maybe, anything else I’ve ever seen on the Internet ever”
+— Myke Hurley +
+ +
+ ++
+
Host | Federico |
---|---|
Pick | 1 |
Score | 2 |
+
Host | Stephen |
---|---|
Pick | 2.2 |
Score | 1 |