From 16ffafe23aa64313987c925fc6e2ad5b5700e87d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 21 Oct 2024 21:21:37 +0200 Subject: [PATCH 01/24] upload metadata file --- model-metadata/ISI-CovBcast.yml | 12 ++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 12 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-metadata/ISI-CovBcast.yml diff --git a/model-metadata/ISI-CovBcast.yml b/model-metadata/ISI-CovBcast.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6c26688 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-metadata/ISI-CovBcast.yml @@ -0,0 +1,12 @@ +team_name: ISI Foundation +model_name: CovBcast +team_abbr: ISI +model_abbr: CovBcast +model_contributors: + - name: Stefania Fiandrino + affiliation: ISI Foundation + email: stefania.fiandrino@isi.it +team_model_designation: secondary +methods: A stochastic, age-structured compartmental model that explicitly integrates behavioral changes through a new compartment of susceptible individuals who are risk averse. +data_inputs: ECDC ERVISS, FluID WHO, UN World Population, contact matrices from Mistry et al. (2021), Prem et al (2017) +license: CC-BY-4.0 \ No newline at end of file From 601cd2f048ece951aff4b0a3ef7d735c3aa20648 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 21 Oct 2024 21:25:53 +0200 Subject: [PATCH 02/24] Create Readme.md --- model-output/ISI-CovBcast/Readme.md | 1 + 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/Readme.md diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/Readme.md b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/Readme.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..71d5744 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/Readme.md @@ -0,0 +1 @@ +ISI-CovBcast From b629db4a3e0294c53fee1eeb9514d0d9023f5570 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 21 Oct 2024 21:26:58 +0200 Subject: [PATCH 03/24] 2024-10-23-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-10-23-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 1243 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1243 insertions(+) create mode 100644 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admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.75,162 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.8,166 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.85,171 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.9,175 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.95,183 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.975,191 +2024-10-30,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,4,SK,quantile,0.99,198 From 827734d6f518988cf4b6ba0ba50aed7b64be1136 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 28 Oct 2024 11:26:26 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 06/24] 2024-10-30-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-10-30-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 1105 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1105 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-10-30-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-10-30-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-10-30-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 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admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.85,196 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.9,220 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.95,234 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.975,239 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.99,243 From 868cfa850f91aa5d4a428533f789b0647eeb67e8 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 6 Nov 2024 16:32:16 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 08/24] 2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 1105 +++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 1105 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7a38144 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-06-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,1105 @@ 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+2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-10-27,0,SK,quantile,0.99,67.0 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-03,1,SK,quantile,0.99,82.0 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-10,2,SK,quantile,0.99,101.0 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,3,SK,quantile,0.99,129.0 +2024-11-06,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,4,SK,quantile,0.99,173.0 From 96681c50a412c19ec8dc4e3f8b862b0aa0cc4296 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 11 Nov 2024 11:23:16 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 09/24] 2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 967 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 967 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e3537f5 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-13-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,967 @@ 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+2024-11-20,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,1,SK,quantile,0.99,59.0 +2024-11-20,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,2,SK,quantile,0.99,74.0 +2024-11-20,hospital admissions,2024-12-01,3,SK,quantile,0.99,93.0 +2024-11-20,hospital admissions,2024-12-08,4,SK,quantile,0.99,98.0 From ab59c27cb01502bb6694c7bd4ee9346788141187 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 18 Nov 2024 18:48:22 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 12/24] 2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2 --- .../2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2.csv | 553 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 553 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-RC_AdaptEns2/2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-RC_AdaptEns2/2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2.csv b/model-output/ISI-RC_AdaptEns2/2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d8529db --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-RC_AdaptEns2/2024-11-20-ISI-RC_AdaptEns2.csv @@ -0,0 +1,553 @@ 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admissions,2024-12-15,4,HU,quantile,0.85,70 +2024-11-27,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,4,HU,quantile,0.9,72 +2024-11-27,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,4,HU,quantile,0.95,74 +2024-11-27,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,4,HU,quantile,0.975,76 +2024-11-27,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,4,HU,quantile,0.99,78 From d7fab8951fbeae1798490ef66ce38ce8cc21acaa Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 25 Nov 2024 22:30:37 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 14/24] 2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 967 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 967 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8abeca3 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-11-27-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,967 @@ 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admissions,2024-12-08,3,SK,quantile,0.99,79.0 +2024-11-27,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,4,SK,quantile,0.99,100.0 From a4e0a3f6ebe4e433eab7245fbc157991ba149645 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 2 Dec 2024 13:57:23 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 15/24] 2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 967 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 967 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..47acef5 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-04-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,967 @@ +origin_date,target,target_end_date,horizon,location,output_type,output_type_id,value +2024-12-04,hospital admissions,2024-11-17,-1,CY,quantile,0.01,1.0 +2024-12-04,hospital admissions,2024-11-24,0,CY,quantile,0.01,2.0 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admissions,2025-01-05,4,PT,quantile,0.85,31 +2024-12-18,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,4,PT,quantile,0.9,40 +2024-12-18,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,4,PT,quantile,0.95,41 +2024-12-18,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,4,PT,quantile,0.975,48 +2024-12-18,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,4,PT,quantile,0.99,54 From 40df85b973642c913d4561f9a96cd5d89a5ff614 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: sfiandrino <151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Tue, 17 Dec 2024 18:42:18 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 20/24] 2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 829 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 829 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..788201d --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2024-12-18-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,829 @@ 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<151559870+sfiandrino@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 2025 17:20:02 +0100 Subject: [PATCH 23/24] 2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast --- .../ISI-CovBcast/2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast.csv | 829 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 829 insertions(+) create mode 100644 model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast.csv diff --git a/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast.csv b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9672400 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-output/ISI-CovBcast/2025-01-01-ISI-CovBcast.csv @@ -0,0 +1,829 @@ +origin_date,target,target_end_date,horizon,location,output_type,output_type_id,value +2025-01-01,hospital admissions,2024-12-15,-1,CZ,quantile,0.01,72.0 +2025-01-01,hospital admissions,2024-12-22,0,CZ,quantile,0.01,66.0 +2025-01-01,hospital admissions,2024-12-29,1,CZ,quantile,0.01,65.0 +2025-01-01,hospital admissions,2025-01-05,2,CZ,quantile,0.01,66.0 +2025-01-01,hospital admissions,2025-01-12,3,CZ,quantile,0.01,61.0 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