diff --git a/x-pack/plugins/ml/public/application/data_frame_analytics/pages/analytics_creation/components/create_step_footer/create_step_footer.tsx b/x-pack/plugins/ml/public/application/data_frame_analytics/pages/analytics_creation/components/create_step_footer/create_step_footer.tsx
index 9fe5963593229..bfa63e21e6c94 100644
--- a/x-pack/plugins/ml/public/application/data_frame_analytics/pages/analytics_creation/components/create_step_footer/create_step_footer.tsx
+++ b/x-pack/plugins/ml/public/application/data_frame_analytics/pages/analytics_creation/components/create_step_footer/create_step_footer.tsx
@@ -82,7 +82,11 @@ export const CreateStepFooter: FC<Props> = ({ jobId, jobType, showProgress }) =>
             jobStats.state === DATA_FRAME_TASK_STATE.STOPPED
           ) {
             clearInterval(interval);
-            setJobFinished(true);
+            // Check job has started. Jobs that fail to start will also have STOPPED state
+            setJobFinished(
+              progressStats.currentPhase === progressStats.totalPhases &&
+                progressStats.progress === 100
+            );
           }
         } else {
           clearInterval(interval);