diff --git a/app/presenters/content_item/metadata.rb b/app/presenters/content_item/metadata.rb
index dfb1c2a07..8a7076bf7 100644
--- a/app/presenters/content_item/metadata.rb
+++ b/app/presenters/content_item/metadata.rb
@@ -20,12 +20,25 @@ def important_metadata
     end
 
     def publisher_metadata
-      {
+      metadata = {
         from:,
         first_published: published,
         last_updated: updated,
-        see_updates_link: true,
       }
+
+      unless pending_stats_announcement?
+        metadata[:see_updates_link] = true
+      end
+
+      metadata
+    end
+
+    def pending_stats_announcement?
+      details_display_date.present? && Time.zone.parse(details_display_date).future?
+    end
+
+    def details_display_date
+      content_item["details"]["display_date"]
     end
   end
 end
diff --git a/test/presenters/content_item/metadata_test.rb b/test/presenters/content_item/metadata_test.rb
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..1e6571b2e
--- /dev/null
+++ b/test/presenters/content_item/metadata_test.rb
@@ -0,0 +1,61 @@
+require "test_helper"
+
+class ContentItemMetadataTest < ActiveSupport::TestCase
+  class DummyContentItem
+    include ContentItem::Metadata
+    attr_reader :content_item, :view_context, :base_path, :public_updated_at, :title, :schema_name
+
+    def initialize(schema_name = "manual")
+      @view_context = ApplicationController.new.view_context
+      @content_item = {
+        "title" => "Super title",
+        "base_path" => "/a/base/path",
+        "public_updated_at" => "2022-03-23T08:30:20.000+00:00",
+        "schema_name" => schema_name,
+        "details" => {
+          "body" => "body",
+          "child_section_groups" => [{ "title" => "thing" }],
+          "display_date" => "23 March 2000",
+        },
+        "links" => {
+          "organisations" => [
+            { "content_id" => SecureRandom.uuid, "title" => "blah", "base_path" => "/blah" },
+          ],
+        },
+      }
+      @base_path = content_item["base_path"]
+      @public_updated_at = content_item["public_updated_at"]
+      @title = content_item["title"]
+      @schema_name = content_item["schema_name"]
+    end
+  end
+
+  test "returns see_updates_link true if published" do
+    item = DummyContentItem.new
+    item.stubs(:display_date).returns("23 March 2000")
+
+    expected_publisher_metadata = {
+      from: ["<a class=\"govuk-link\" href=\"/blah\">blah</a>"],
+      first_published: "23 March 2000",
+      last_updated: nil,
+      see_updates_link: true,
+    }
+
+    assert_equal expected_publisher_metadata, item.publisher_metadata
+  end
+
+  test "does not return see_updates_link if pending" do
+    item = DummyContentItem.new
+    item.stubs(:display_date).returns("23 March 3000")
+
+    item.content_item["details"]["display_date"] = "23 March 3000"
+
+    expected_publisher_metadata = {
+      from: ["<a class=\"govuk-link\" href=\"/blah\">blah</a>"],
+      first_published: "23 March 3000",
+      last_updated: nil,
+    }
+
+    assert_equal expected_publisher_metadata, item.publisher_metadata
+  end
+end