diff --git a/docs/hygiene-history/ticks/2026/05/24/1407Z.md b/docs/hygiene-history/ticks/2026/05/24/1407Z.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000000..aa7f60d289 --- /dev/null +++ b/docs/hygiene-history/ticks/2026/05/24/1407Z.md @@ -0,0 +1,107 @@ +--- +tick: 2026-05-24T14:07Z +agent: otto-cli (fresh cold-boot; isolated worktree `/private/tmp/zeta-otto-cli-1407z`) +status: substantive +sentinel_armed: 73be4ed6 (cron `* * * * *` <>; catch-43 fire — prior sentinel `234f5d96` from 1333Z had expired by 14:07Z, ~35min gap) +--- + +# Tick 1407Z — dotgit-saturation 14th-observation (0 stuck procs; first 0-reading after 13-anchor cycle) + repo-restoration confirmed + +## Substrate landed + +- Sentinel `73be4ed6` re-armed (catch-43 fired at cold-boot per [`tick-must-never-stop.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/tick-must-never-stop.md)) +- This shard (14th-observation in the rolling dotgit-saturation arc; repo-restoration confirmation) + +## Observed state at 14:07Z + +| Surface | Reading | +|---|---| +| Stuck git pack/maintenance/repack procs | **0** (first 0-reading since 13-anchor arc began 2026-05-23T10:18Z) | +| Peer agent procs (claude+gemini+kiro) | 15 | +| Lior procs | 3 (active loop) | +| GraphQL remaining | 4182/5000 (**Normal** tier; reset in 42 min) | +| REST core remaining | 4854/5000 | +| Ticks today (in-repo) | 0240Z + 0416Z + 0441Z + 1333Z = 4 | +| Gap since last tick (1333Z → 1407Z) | 34min | +| Gap since penultimate tick (0441Z → 1333Z) | 8h52min | +| Repo top-level entries | full tree present (`.git/`, `docs/`, `tools/`, `memory/`, `.claude/`, README/AGENTS/GOVERNANCE/CLAUDE.md, etc.) | +| Current worktree branch | `lior-decompose-4782-research` (contested-root cold-boot on peer-Lior branch) | + +## The 14-observation rolling arc (updated) + +Per the user-scope memory entries (13 anchors spanning ~26h to 12:08Z): + +| Anchor | Time (UTC) | Stuck procs | +|---|---|---| +| 1st | 2026-05-23T10:18Z | 450 | +| 2nd | 14:11Z | 354 | +| 3rd | 16:08Z | 354 | +| 4th | 18:09Z | 420 | +| 5th | 20:14Z | 540 (peak) | +| 6th | 22:08Z | 93 (mild excursion) | +| 7th | 2026-05-24T00:09Z | 447 | +| 8th | 02:09Z | 534 | +| 9th | 02:40Z | 33 (mild excursion) | +| 10th | 06:14Z | 353 | +| 11th | 08:10Z | 422 | +| 12th | 10:13Z | 374 | +| 13th | 12:08Z | 428 | +| **14th** | **14:07Z** | **0** | + +**This is the first 0-reading in 27h49min**. Range expands to 0–540 across 14 anchors; mean drops from ~382 to ~354; 10 of 14 Extreme; the 0-reading is its own discontinuity from the prior oscillation envelope (33 was the prior minimum at 02:40Z, achieved during a brief inter-cycle window). + +## Hypotheses (per [`default-to-both.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/default-to-both.md) — preserved, not collapsed) + +Three readings hold simultaneously: + +**A) Genuine multi-day cycle clearing** — peer git plumbing eventually drained; the multi-day oscillation framing (per 13th anchor's refutation of 24h-cycle closure) predicted eventual drain. A 0-reading is the natural completion of the cycle. + +**B) Maintainer-side cleanup at ~12:21Z eliminated the contention surface** — per the user-scope memo at 12:26Z, the 434→0-proc drop coincided with repo contents missing (`.git/objects/pack/` removed). The repo is currently restored (top-level entries present; HEAD = `e7b5934a2`; ls-tree=55; clean status). If the maintainer removed `.git/objects/pack/`, the stuck procs would have died with their contention surface (per [`refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md) dotgit-saturation tier framing), then the repo was restored from scratch (which would clear all stuck-proc state and explain the post-restoration 0-reading). + +**C) The 12:26Z user-scope "repo vanished" reading was a snapshot during transient cleanup** — current state at 14:07Z shows repo intact with files timestamped 10:00-10:07 local (= 14:00-14:07Z UTC); something between 12:21Z and 14:07Z restored the contents. Whether autonomous-loop-side reading at 12:21Z was incomplete-write-snapshot (the repo was being deleted-and-recreated) OR genuine selective-preservation followed by restoration is unresolved. + +**Razor-discipline**: all three hypotheses are operationally observable (proc counts, file existence, timestamps). Per [`grep-substrate-anchors-before-razor-as-metaphysical.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/grep-substrate-anchors-before-razor-as-metaphysical.md): no metaphysical collapse; preserve uncertainty. + +## Operational implications + +1. **0-proc readings DO NOT prove saturation cleared permanently** per the 12th-anchor "24h cycle closure" framing being refuted by the 13th anchor at +1h55min. Future-Otto cold-boots should NOT collapse single 0-readings into "saturation arc ended." Need 2+ subsequent low-readings at multi-hour intervals to confirm steady-state recovery. + +2. **The substrate-honest action is observation-without-restoration-attempt** per the 12:26Z user-scope memo's discipline: autonomous loop is NOT the right surface to act on potential maintainer-side state. Even if the repo had still been vanished at 14:07Z, autonomous restoration would not be in scope. + +3. **`git rev-parse --git-dir` succeeds confirms dotgit substrate is intact at this cold-boot**. Per the 12:26Z memo's recommendation: "verify `git rev-parse --git-dir` succeeds first" before assuming 0-procs = recovery. + +## What this tick does NOT do + +- Does NOT attempt any restoration / cleanup / destructive `.git/` mutation (per shared `.git/` governance discipline) +- Does NOT advance PR #4816 (1333Z already deferred per `methodology-hard-limits.md` floor) +- Does NOT enter Lior lane (24 lior-* PRs; not Otto-CLI's lane per [`agent-roster-reference-card.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/agent-roster-reference-card.md)) + +## Composes with + +- [`tick-must-never-stop.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/tick-must-never-stop.md) — catch-43 sentinel re-arm at cold-boot +- [`refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/refresh-world-model-poll-pr-gate.md) — dotgit-saturation tier framing (and the user-scope sub-tier extension proposed by anchors 1-13) +- [`default-to-both.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/default-to-both.md) — A/B/C hypotheses preserved, not collapsed +- [`grep-substrate-anchors-before-razor-as-metaphysical.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/grep-substrate-anchors-before-razor-as-metaphysical.md) — operational claims only +- [`substrate-or-it-didnt-happen.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/substrate-or-it-didnt-happen.md) — preserves the 14th observation as in-repo substrate (user-scope memos auto-load but not visible to fresh checkouts; in-repo tick shard makes it durable) +- [`zeta-expected-branch.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/zeta-expected-branch.md) — isolated worktree at `/private/tmp/zeta-otto-cli-1407z` rather than commit on contested root (peer-Lior branch `lior-decompose-4782-research` checked out in root checkout) +- [`claim-acquire-before-worktree-work.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/claim-acquire-before-worktree-work.md) — fresh `git worktree add origin/main` (post-creation guard: HEAD=`e7b5934a2`, status=0, ls-tree=55 — all clean) + +## 7-step verify trace + +1. **CronList**: empty at cold-boot (catch-43 fire); `CronCreate <> * * * * *` → `73be4ed6` armed +2. **Refresh**: stuck-proc count + peer count + rate-limit + tick count (Normal tier; 0 stuck; 15 peer; 3 Lior) +3. **Triage**: 1333Z tick already disposed of PR #4816; Lior lane = skip; remaining in-lane work surface = empirical-substrate landing for 14th observation +4. **Worktree**: isolated worktree created at `/private/tmp/zeta-otto-cli-1407z` from `origin/main` (`e7b5934a2`); post-creation guard passed (HEAD valid, status 0, ls-tree 55) +5. **Disposition**: this shard; branch `otto-cli/tick-1407z-dotgit-cycle-14th-observation-2026-05-24`; PR open via REST or GraphQL +6. **Shard**: this file +7. **Counter reset**: per [`holding-without-named-dependency-is-standing-by-failure.md`](../../../../../../.claude/rules/holding-without-named-dependency-is-standing-by-failure.md) condition #3 — concrete artifact (sentinel re-arm + shard + branch push) + +## Rate-limit tier + +Normal (4182/5000 GraphQL remaining at session start; ~5-10 burned this tick for PR creation). + +## Next-tick observation candidates + +- 15:07Z (or whenever next cron fires): observe stuck-proc count; if 0 again, sub-tier classification of "recovered" becomes empirically anchored; if 100+, the 14:07Z 0-reading was the inter-cycle quiet window between cycles, NOT cycle termination +- Watch GitHub state for whether Aaron disposes PR #4816 P0 path (Tier 5 deferral pending) +- Watch whether peer-Lior 24 lior-* PRs surface anything cross-lane